Post-Realignment Electoral Map? (user search)
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  Post-Realignment Electoral Map? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Post-Realignment Electoral Map?  (Read 13119 times)
TheSaint250
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 7,071


Political Matrix
E: -2.84, S: 5.22

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« on: July 17, 2017, 08:31:22 PM »

Except for Asians, that seems to be now
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TheSaint250
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,071


Political Matrix
E: -2.84, S: 5.22

P P
« Reply #1 on: July 18, 2017, 07:10:08 AM »

I think the GOP would be idiotic to not change its path. The ethnic/generational divides that the OP mentioned are pretty close to now.

But yes a realignment like this would happen if the GOP continues like this, but I'm not entirely convinced that asians will be a Republican-aligned group.

Also, I have talked about this before, but what are the chances of a Bernie-dominated Democratic Party making current Republican strongholds in the West (MT, ID, etc.) more competitive and more moderate Republicans gaining in the North with fewer losses in the growing minority states due to the leftward move of the Democrats?
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TheSaint250
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,071


Political Matrix
E: -2.84, S: 5.22

P P
« Reply #2 on: July 18, 2017, 01:29:21 PM »

I think the GOP would be idiotic to not change its path. The ethnic/generational divides that the OP mentioned are pretty close to now.

But yes a realignment like this would happen if the GOP continues like this, but I'm not entirely convinced that asians will be a Republican-aligned group.

Also, I have talked about this before, but what are the chances of a Bernie-dominated Democratic Party making current Republican strongholds in the West (MT, ID, etc.) more competitive and more moderate Republicans gaining in the North with fewer losses in the growing minority states due to the leftward move of the Democrats?

Asians broke for the GOP 50-48 in the 2014 midterms. Now while that was a midterm year and very low turnout, it does show that the GOP have a pretty high base with Asian voters even with their current southern evangelical strategy. George W. Bush won 44% of Asian voters in 2004.

If they shift away from the southern strategy and fully embrace the stance that climate change is real and needs to be curbed then they could easily start winning 50%+ of Asian voters in Presidential years circa 2036-2044.
I see your points and agree that climate change needs to be addressed by Republicans with plans to stop it, but, just wondering, how does that appeal to Asians?

Also, didn't know that about 2014 and 2004. I was just thinking about 2016, for as unique as the election was.
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