Independent Kasich campaign? (user search)
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  Independent Kasich campaign? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Independent Kasich campaign?  (Read 3325 times)
TheSaint250
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,071


Political Matrix
E: -2.84, S: 5.22

P P
« on: June 26, 2017, 06:11:46 AM »

This is really becoming more likely, especially since he just said that neither party cares about the poor.
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TheSaint250
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,071


Political Matrix
E: -2.84, S: 5.22

P P
« Reply #1 on: June 26, 2017, 01:36:31 PM »

I wonder about Ohio.  Many think it will swing towards Kasich, but, assuming pre-2016-election polling is true, Kasich would take a large amount of the votes from Trump, but Trump would also keep many Republicans. There's a good chance the state would go for the Democrat.
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TheSaint250
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,071


Political Matrix
E: -2.84, S: 5.22

P P
« Reply #2 on: June 26, 2017, 02:24:24 PM »

It would probably be a terrible idea, and we would end up with another election of 1912. If Kasich just wants to run to ruin Trump, I guess it would make sense.
Imagine that: something like Trump vs. Booker vs. Kasich vs. Sanders.
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TheSaint250
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,071


Political Matrix
E: -2.84, S: 5.22

P P
« Reply #3 on: July 02, 2017, 03:27:53 PM »

1) Maine can't split its EC votes 3 ways like that. Can it? You've got what I presume to be ME-01 voting by a plurality for Sanders/Gabbard, ME-02 voting by a plurality for Trump/Pence, but ME-AL voting by a plurality for Kasich/Hickenlooper? That does not make sense.

It's mathematically possible, albeit very unlikely.  Imagine this scenario, for example:

CD1:
Sanders 36%
Kasich 34%
Trump 30%

CD2:
Trump 36%
Kasich 34%
Sanders 30%

You can then average the two CDs to get a rough estimate of the statewide totals, which would be:
Kasich 34%
Sanders 33%
Trump 33%

So Kasich wins statewide, despite coming in second in both CDs.

Surprise

No joke I thought this wasn't possible.  Thank you for proving this to me lol.
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TheSaint250
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,071


Political Matrix
E: -2.84, S: 5.22

P P
« Reply #4 on: July 03, 2017, 01:11:01 PM »

1) Maine can't split its EC votes 3 ways like that. Can it? You've got what I presume to be ME-01 voting by a plurality for Sanders/Gabbard, ME-02 voting by a plurality for Trump/Pence, but ME-AL voting by a plurality for Kasich/Hickenlooper? That does not make sense.

It's mathematically possible, albeit very unlikely.  Imagine this scenario, for example:

CD1:
Sanders 36%
Kasich 34%
Trump 30%

CD2:
Trump 36%
Kasich 34%
Sanders 30%

You can then average the two CDs to get a rough estimate of the statewide totals, which would be:
Kasich 34%
Sanders 33%
Trump 33%

So Kasich wins statewide, despite coming in second in both CDs.

Surprise

No joke I thought this wasn't possible.  Thank you for proving this to me lol.

I thought I explained it, too. Tongue
Oh lol sorry I kinda just started reading from the end backwards XD
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TheSaint250
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,071


Political Matrix
E: -2.84, S: 5.22

P P
« Reply #5 on: October 01, 2017, 09:45:21 AM »


He seems to be moving away from saying “unlikely” to everything
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