Why is everyone predicting the Democrat to win here? Trump won the state by a huge margin and I don't see Quist with a strong match with the state's profile. Is there polling I'm unaware of?
Gravis had Gianforte up by double digits, but a series of Google Surveys have shown Quist in the lead. My last Google Survey in March had Quist up by double digits.
Even though I'm increasingly skeptical of these Google polls, I just put one into the field this afternoon. I expect it to be complete by Friday night or Saturday.
This, ultimately, is a Democratic-leaning website. That predictions tend to skew pro-Democrat compared to conventional wisdom shouldn't be surprising, especially this early in the cycle with little available polling data.
Google Surveys is extremely inaccurate and unreliable.
