Here's an underrated possibility - more and more voters think Biden will win, so they're more comfortable voting for downballot Republicans since they're less likely to enable Trump.
Strong disagree. Anecdotally, most people I talk to are convinced Trump will win, the less politically educated the more so.
Polling shows this too
Yeah I've found the same thing. There's nowhere near the complacency that I saw and felt in 2016 about the race. Lots of people don't believe the polls and are motivated to vote because of it.
