2017 French Presidential Election

[LabourJersey]

A French Town Known for Picking Presidents Sees Big Upset Ahead
The foie gras town of Donzy is almost always right in picking a winner, and this year it sees Fillon beating Le Pen.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2017-04-09/a-french-town-known-for-picking-presidents-sees-big-upset-ahead

I really dislike the idea that "bellwether towns" have some genuine predictive power. Its the political equivalent of flipping a coin six times and getting heads for all six.

I believe there was a long piece on Politico about some Indiana town that went for each presidential winner since 1952, and it went for Trump by double digits. Sure that might be technically accurate but that is a difference of 13 percentage points compared to the rest of America Politics change, swing voters change, etc.