Updated predictions- How many House seats do you think Dems will pick up? (user search)
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  Updated predictions- How many House seats do you think Dems will pick up? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Updated predictions- How many House seats do you think Dems will pick up?  (Read 5647 times)
Torie
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« on: October 14, 2018, 12:51:59 PM »
« edited: October 14, 2018, 12:55:37 PM by Torie »

As the polls roll in on a seat by seat basis, and the "experts" chime in, my off the wall prediction of two weeks ago is beginning to look pretty good for the moment. If one splits the toss ups between the parties, the Dems end up with 224 seats, for a net gain of 29. That is my prediction for the moment: 29 seats.

The Dems are picking off the wounded from the herd, and the open seats in otherwise competitive districts, plus a couple of others, but competent incumbents not in the Pub death zone of northern higher SES white districts packed with never Trumpers, are largely holding on, even if in some cases by drastically reduced margins. Heck even the not competent Pub incumbent in CA-48 in the Pub death zone (from Russia with love Dana R) is in the tossup zone for the moment. Maybe it is because he is a stoner in a place that loves recreational drugs, I don't know. The highly competent Pub Roskam in IL-06 is also a tossup in the Pub death zone.
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