2014 US Congressional Election Results (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
May 24, 2024, 02:34:12 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  2014 US Congressional Election Results (search mode)
Pages: 1 2 [3]
Author Topic: 2014 US Congressional Election Results  (Read 192181 times)
Torie
Moderators
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 46,095
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -4.70

« Reply #50 on: January 18, 2015, 05:20:10 PM »

The below shows just how "good" the "non-partisan" commission's Democratic gerrymander was in AZ:

Arizona: 1,467,617 (9 Districts)
Republican: 817,178 55.7% 5 (8 Candidates)
Democratic: 577,947 39.4% 4 (8 candidates)
Libertarian: 23,767 1.6% (3 candidates)
American Electors: 44,924 (2 candidates)
Independent: 3,496
Write In: 305

It strikes me as the biggest differential of any of the 50 states. I don't think anywhere the minority party got that high a percentage of the CD's with around 40% of the vote. If AZ-02 has swung the other way, it would have been even more spectacular.
Logged
Torie
Moderators
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 46,095
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -4.70

« Reply #51 on: January 20, 2015, 07:02:35 PM »
« Edited: January 20, 2015, 07:04:38 PM by Torie »

The below shows just how "good" the "non-partisan" commission's Democratic gerrymander was in AZ:

Arizona: 1,467,617 (9 Districts)
Republican: 817,178 55.7% 5 (8 Candidates)
Democratic: 577,947 39.4% 4 (8 candidates)
Libertarian: 23,767 1.6% (3 candidates)
American Electors: 44,924 (2 candidates)
Independent: 3,496
Write In: 305

It strikes me as the biggest differential of any of the 50 states. I don't think anywhere the minority party got that high a percentage of the CD's with around 40% of the vote. If AZ-02 has swung the other way, it would have been even more spectacular.

40% of the vote equating to 44% of the seats is fairer than 33% of the seats.  Yes, if AZ-2 had stayed Dem you'd have a reason to complain, but as it stands...

Except as the margin between the parities increases, the seats lost to the party at the short end, is an exponential one in a non partisan line drawing, not linear. That is why a "fair" map in Mass might net the Pubs one seat, two at best, far below the percentage of their vote. AZ was partisan in the sense in did a Dem gerrymander to offset the exponential effect. Make sense? The reason I bitch about the AZ map is that it was supposed to be non partisan. I don't begrudge what the Dems did in MD, effectively, and in Illinois, ineffectively, as it turned out because they got greedy, and ignored the trends.
Logged
Pages: 1 2 [3]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.023 seconds with 12 queries.