The FL Election Day & Results Thread (user search)
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Author Topic: The FL Election Day & Results Thread  (Read 12748 times)
Torie
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Posts: 46,106
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Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -4.70

« on: February 01, 2012, 12:06:51 AM »

The primaries are starting to have some noticeably hilarious patterns.  More later.

Romney cleaned up with the Cubans and rich olds.  His best counties are Miami-Dade, Collier and Sumter.   Gingrich did best in rural parts of the panhandle, breaking 50% in two small counties.  That bodes well for Gingrich in much of the rest of the South.

Until you realize that another southern state does not vote between now and Super Tuesday. If Romney wins the next eight contests, I will not even be surprised if Gingrich loses Georgia, let alone Virginia and Tennessee, on Super Tuesday.

Newt is a safe bet to lose Virginia because he is not on the ballot.
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Torie
Moderators
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 46,106
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -4.70

« Reply #1 on: February 01, 2012, 12:16:05 AM »

Newt apparently didn't call to congratulate Mitt. He reminds us why 58% of Americans hate him.

I think the stake has really been put into Newt's heart this time Dukie (his bio just sucks, along with everything else, so it is far more than just being smashed in one critical winner take all primary), and he just won't be getting out of his coffin again to suck blood when it is night time again. But I loathe the man so much, I know I am not really objective. But that is what I think is the case FWIW. The thing is, all else aside, is that Mittens has the inside track to win the delegates, just like McCain did (with machine states like NY giving most of their delegates to him, while true proportional states fractionate). Ditto California, which is really what finished Romney off last time against McCain. There CD's with no Pubs get to determine just as many delegates, as CD's with a ton of Pubs, after giving half the delegates or something on a winner take all basis.
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Torie
Moderators
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 46,106
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -4.70

« Reply #2 on: February 01, 2012, 11:25:52 AM »

Quite a post above. Most of us are big admirers of Nate Silver. Smiley
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