NV-02 special election: 9/13

[Torie]

It will be quite the techtonic shift if the Pubbie wins. The shock waves will roll right across the fruited plain.

A Republican winning in a Republican district? Or sarcasm?

Damn, I thought we were talking about the Weiner seat for some reason!  Oh dear.  LOL. I'm going to delete my post.  LOL.

[Torie]

What exactly did Marshall do wrong? She came off as an appealing moderate, and had a good record as state treasurer. It seemed like the race was very close until the past week. Was Amodei's echo ad based off the one Jerry Brown ran partially responsible for what seems to be a likely loss for Marshall? Or did the DCC screw up with helping Marshall fundraise?

My my view, Amodei ran particularly effective ads against her; he used a few of her past quotes and they seemed to be pretty devastating.  That could be one factor.

Here's an example.

Unfair ad of course (she can't control national macroeconomics), but that shrill voice of hers! Oh dear.

The district was never in play really.  Why in the world would it be?

[Torie]

The voters wanted to send Obama a message. Both CD's were national election statements. The Dems lost everything but the Obama base. Almost all the swing voters went GOP - and then some. That sometimes happens in special elections.

[Torie]

Romney would present real problems in Nevada because of the Mormon thing.  I would not underestimate that - it's probably worth a couple of percentage points.

The Mormon thing hasn't hurt Harry Reid in Nevada.  Nevada has a decent sized Mormon population.  Whatever Nevada anti-Mormon vote there is should be offset by the Mormon vote.

Yeah, Sam meant the opposite. Actually Romney's mormonism won't hurt him most anywhere out west. In the south and lower midwest, not so sure. Not that it will cause him to lose but it might be worth a point or two there.

Yes, I meant plus not minus, in Nevada context specifically.  It's always been a plus for Harry too.

I had thought Sam that you had lost your marbles there for a moment, but decided not to say anything as a professional courtesy.

[Torie]

Never been less tempted to hit "show" than in this thread.

You have not missed out on much. Part of it is the repetition. At least I try to say something new, even if what I say sucks.   But it isn't quite as bad as this Orthodox Jew thing and NY-09 and gays, which has now moved on to NJ.  The drum on that one lost its sound ages ago.  LOL.