Post interesting results (biggest victories, milestones, etc) (user search)
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  Post interesting results (biggest victories, milestones, etc) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Post interesting results (biggest victories, milestones, etc)  (Read 5297 times)
Torie
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Atlas Legend
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Posts: 46,106
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -4.70

« on: November 03, 2010, 11:52:16 PM »

What district the GOP won had the most Democratic CPVI?

Assuming current results hold, the Republican pickup with the most Democratic CPVI is CA-20 at D+5.
Also on the D+ side:
D+4
PA-11

D+3
IL-17
MN-08
NH-02
PA-07
WA-02
WI-07

D+2
NV-03
PA-08

D+1
FL-22
OH-01
OH-15

I think that's all of them.

Average PVI of Republican pickups was R+4.6 - but that includes CT-04 for now since Bridgeport wasn't fully in the last time I ran the dashboard this afternoon.

The lowest Dem pickup PVI was in DE-AL - D+7.

Remember that a PVI of Even, means that the average of the Obama and Bush 2004 performances of the CD ended up being a 5% margin for the Dem, 52.5% to 47.5%.  Any Pubbie incumbent would push hard for a CD that was at least 3.5 R% PVI, which would afford a 2% "generic" margin, 51 to 49 R.
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Torie
Moderators
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 46,106
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -4.70

« Reply #1 on: November 05, 2010, 02:23:00 PM »

Wally Herger, the Republican in CA-02, won with 57%. He got 58% in 2008. That can't be good news for him.

I noticed that too. Don't know what caused it (maybe the Democrat was popular in Butte County or something), but there is plenty of Republican territory around him. He shouldn't be too impacted by redistricting. CA-3 on the other hand.....

Whitman didn't do much better than Herger's percentage in CA-02 it looks like. She had a larger margin over Brown there than Herger did over his opponent, only because the bulk of the third party vote in the governor's race went to the Dem in CA-02.
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Torie
Moderators
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 46,106
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -4.70

« Reply #2 on: November 05, 2010, 02:47:17 PM »

In PA, the way Lackawanna has held up for the Dems in contrast to the southwestern counties is kind of interesting.
...though I notice Joe Sestak won Greene County, which is more than can be said of Barack Obama.

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Yeah, that is hilarious.

Critically, Niagara County took out a Dem State senator in a huge upset, turning control of the body back to the GOP.
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Torie
Moderators
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 46,106
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -4.70

« Reply #3 on: November 07, 2010, 12:13:58 PM »

I think Schock is still the youngest.   Justin Amash is 30, Jaime Herrera is 32 , and Martha Roby is 34. 

Amash is also the first Palestinian-American in Congress (he's a Christian, though). His father grew up in a refugee camp. Amash seems to be a Ron Paul Republican (not surprisingly, some might say). Can't believe this guy flew under my radar.

Wasn't Sununu Palestinian-American, by way of Lebanon?

Yep.
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