2022 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread

[2016]

It would be something if this ended up being a neutral or Democratic year, and would be unprecedented. Over the last century, there have only been four midterms in which the President's party did well - 1934 (New Deal realignment), 1962 (Cuban Missile Crisis), 1998 (Clinton impeachment), and 2002 (9/11 effect). What distinguishes 2022 from these preceding years is that the incumbent President in those years enjoyed strong approval ratings, while Biden's approval (according to RCP) is at around 43%, similar to Obama's in 2010. It would be extraordinary if Democrats managed to hold their ground with the President underwater by 10 points in approvals.

Most people who don't answer Polls are Trump America First Folks because Biden declared them enemies of the Republic.

[2016]

The Political Environment is much more worse then Democrats will admit to themselves.

Consider this: President Biden is going to New York State to save Kathy Hochul and to New Mexico to save Michelle Lujan-Grisham? C'mon! That doesn't pass the smell test.

This reminds me when President Obama campaigned for Pat Quinn in Illinois and Anthony Brown in Maryland during the 2014 Midterms and they both still lost + it wasn't even close in both Races.

[2016]

Here comes the herding from the Morning Consult/POLITICO Crappola. Democrats were never ever ahead in the Final Weeks of this Campaign. This is all just herding by them to claim we were right.

[2016]

https://twitter.com/pollsterguy/status/1587403364077273089

Enough said! Bill is right. Democrats not releasing their own Data because things are looking increasingly grim.

[2016]

@AncestralDemocrat.
Herding is strong, isn't it?
Once again it confirms to me that CNN & NPR have very faulty Pollsters. Why not stricking with your guns and predict a Democratic Wave like you have been all year? I am disgusted by this herding from them. I will disregard their Polls regardless if D's or R's are up.

The Point is: Republicans were never behind for the entire Election Cycle.

[2016]

@AncestralDemocrat.
Herding is strong, isn't it?
Once again it confirms to me that CNN & NPR have very faulty Pollsters. Why not stricking with your guns and predict a Democratic Wave like you have been all year? I am disgusted by this herding from them. I will disregard their Polls regardless if D's or R's are up.

The Point is: Republicans were never behind for the entire Election Cycle.

I have to think that Morning Consult did the same thing as you mentioned.

Yes, Morning Consult did the same thing. They showed Democrats up 5 a Week ago and now it's tied to make them look good. The Polling Industry is broken. I admire Trafalgar, Insider Advantage or Emerson even more because they are sticking to their guns EVEN if they almost certainly will get some Races wrong.

[2016]

Barrett is now tied with Slotkin per Mitchell Poll

Democrats are facing a WIPE-OUT in the House.

Biden made a collossal misjudgment yesterday Night with his Speech. All what he did is probably "Supercharge" E-Day Turnout among Trump Voters even more.

[2016]

Barrett is now tied with Slotkin per Mitchell Poll

Democrats are facing a WIPE-OUT in the House.

Biden made a collossal misjudgment yesterday Night with his Speech. All what he did is probably "Supercharge" E-Day Turnout among Trump Voters even more.

But I was told that nobody on the right watched the speech...

Regardless if the right watched the Speech LIVE or not. It was all over the News on FOX, OANN, NEWSMAX, etc.

Democrats like you still don't get it that there is a hidden Trump Vote who can come out at will.

[2016]

Barrett is now tied with Slotkin per Mitchell Poll

Democrats are facing a WIPE-OUT in the House.

Biden made a collossal misjudgment yesterday Night with his Speech. All what he did is probably "Supercharge" E-Day Turnout among Trump Voters even more.

But I was told that nobody on the right watched the speech...

Regardless if the right watched the Speech LIVE or not. It was all over the News on FOX, OANN, NEWSMAX, etc.

Democrats like you still don't get it that there is a hidden Trump Vote who can come out at will.

On the contrary, after 2016 and 2020 I'm quite sure that hidden Trump voters do exist.  However, what I haven't seen is the "Trump Vote" come out of hiding when Trump isn't on the ballot (2018, 2021 GA runoffs, special elections this year).

True, they haven't always come out BUT given how bad of a turn the Country did in the last 20 Months under Biden I am pretty convinced that they will come out. Too much is at stake here. Biden has to be reeled in. They will go over "Broken Glass" if they have to on Tuesday to vote.

[2016]

In case this hasn't been discussed here COOK REPORT says "Best-Case Scenario for Democrats is a 50-50 Senate Tie". Their updated Forecast is D+0 to R+3.

[2016]

https://twitter.com/jaketapper/status/1588506562749923330?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7C...
Things have gotten completely out of WHACK for Democrats it seems!

[2016]

I saw this morning typical Atlas Democrats bragging about the NBC NEWS Poll showing D's ahead 48-47.

However the underlying things have not being discussed. 47 % want change from Pres Bidens Leadership, only 28 % of Independents approving of Biden.

Those two Numbers are a rip for a complete disaster for Democrats on Tuesday. Their District Candidates and Statewide Candidates have to run well ahead of Biden as Bill McInturf alluded to.