NJ-GOV 2021 megathread

[2016]

Murphy now up +1.9%

Murphy (D) 1,259,517 (50.5%)
Ciattarelli (R) 1,211,949 (48.6%)

~89% in

Murphy with 47,588 lead

The Trafalgar Poll had Murphy leading by 4.2 Percentage Points. The biggest basket of Votes will come from Essex County.

If you look at the NYT NJ everything else is basically in.

So Murphy could end up winning by the same margin Youngkin is in VA.

[2016]

NBC still claims that there are 300K left to count.

NBC + Chuck Todd = Bonaheaded Stupid as always.

[2016]

So both VA and NJ will have same margin of ~2.5%?

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1456443197899612160?s=20

Trafalgar had
Youngkin +2.3%
Murphy +4.2%

Incredible.

The rest of the remaining Vote, assuming NBC is right and they do have 290K left to count, is all VBM Vote which usually vote disporportionally Democratic meaning Murphys Margin is likely to grow.