IN - NBC/Marist: Donnelly +2 (user search)
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  IN - NBC/Marist: Donnelly +2 (search mode)
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Author Topic: IN - NBC/Marist: Donnelly +2  (Read 3507 times)
2016
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,755


« on: October 31, 2018, 04:13:18 PM »

LOL, Donnelly +23 among Indies. The Marist Crap Show continues.

Ya'll can gloat about that Poll BUT FOX NEWS will have apparently IN-SEN Poll as well @6pm.
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2016
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,755


« Reply #1 on: October 31, 2018, 04:36:20 PM »

Marist has been bad all year long. They have D's AHEAD everywhere except TX & TN. I'll have to check their Polls from 2014 cuz if they underestimating R-Turnout the same way back then R's certainly looking pretty good in ND, IN, MO, TX and TN.

Trumps JA with Independents is -4 in Indiana yet Donnelly +23 over Braun with that Group. It doesn't make sense.
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2016
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,755


« Reply #2 on: October 31, 2018, 04:41:20 PM »

Marist has been bad all year long. They have D's AHEAD everywhere except TX & TN. I'll have to check their Polls from 2014 cuz if they underestimating R-Turnout the same way back then R's certainly looking pretty good in ND, IN, MO, TX and TN.

Trumps JA with Independents is -2 in Indiana yet Donnelly +23 over Braun with that Group. It doesn't make sense.
You.can approve of the President yet vote D, you know.

Using your logic, Joe Manchin would be getting destroyed by Pat Morrisey right now.

I don't dispute that BUT +23 is a little bit too much, don't you think? Same in AZ where they have Sinema +27 among Indies where Trumps JA is clearly on the rise.
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2016
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,755


« Reply #3 on: October 31, 2018, 04:53:42 PM »

2016, can you please stop unskewing using crosstabs like indies? This poll had 29% indies among likely voters, which is n=144. That would have an MOE of over 8 points with Indiana's population.

It isn't just Indies. Braun gets only 60% of the Evangelical Christian Vote...not even close to right. These Marist Polls have HUGE Flaws no matter how you slice it.
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