Senate Control Rating (user search)
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Poll
Question: Rate Overall Control of the US Senate
#1
Safe D		  
#2
Likely D		  
#3
Lean D		  
#4
Toss-Up		  
#5
Lean R		  
#6
Likely R		  
#7
Safe R		  
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results
Total Voters: 114

Author Topic: Senate Control Rating  (Read 2158 times)
2016
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,783
« on: October 20, 2018, 09:30:34 AM »
Likely R I think.

Too many Seats for Democrats to defend in Red States.
Logged
2016
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,783
« Reply #1 on: October 20, 2018, 01:33:37 PM »
Every one of the Political Handicappers/Forecasters has now moved North Dakota to Lean R. Cook was the last one.

And the Democrats ain't going to win TX or TN.

I'm changing my Rating now to Safe R based on ND.
Logged
2016
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,783
« Reply #2 on: October 30, 2018, 04:48:51 PM »
I'm changing my Vote from Likely R to Safe R.

TN was the Race I was mostly worried about but Blackburn seems on Track to win by a similar Margin Corker beat Ford Jr. in 2006. TX looks Likely R.

Republicans therefore only need to get one 1 Seat of either IN, FL, MO, ND or MT even if they lose in AZ & NV. And they will win at least one of those 5 I mentioned.
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2016
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,783
« Reply #3 on: October 30, 2018, 07:20:04 PM »
Quote from: Calthrina950 on October 30, 2018, 05:27:51 PM
Quote from: 2016 on October 30, 2018, 04:48:51 PM
I'm changing my Vote from Likely R to Safe R.

TN was the Race I was mostly worried about but Blackburn seems on Track to win by a similar Margin Corker beat Ford Jr. in 2006. TX looks Likely R.

Republicans therefore only need to get one 1 Seat of either IN, FL, MO, ND or MT even if they lose in AZ & NV. And they will win at least one of those 5 I mentioned.

I agree. Republicans will hold Texas and Tennessee, and I believe that they will pick up both North Dakota and Missouri. Indiana is also moving in Braun's direction, and I'm starting to think that Donnelly will lose. If that happens, that will be three Republican pickups. At the same time, based upon Early Voting data, I believe Rosen is on track to win in Nevada. Sinema is also leading in the most recent polls out of Arizona. Hence, as I've thought from the beginning, Arizona and Nevada will be Democratic pickups. However, they will be canceled out by North Dakota and Missouri, so I think the Senate will either be neutral or (depending upon how Indiana goes) R+1.

Indiana is very important. Should Republicans win that we probably have an early Night and us Political Junkies don't have to stay up all Night.
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