KS co/Efficient (R internal): Trump +12 (user search)
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  KS co/Efficient (R internal): Trump +12 (search mode)
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Author Topic: KS co/Efficient (R internal): Trump +12  (Read 1217 times)
Calthrina950
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« on: September 30, 2020, 08:36:47 AM »

Those are pretty poor numbers for Trump considering it's a Republican internal.

Knock off a few points for that and Trump is leading by high single digits, which seems pretty reasonable given the overall environment.

If Trump only wins Kansas by a single-digit margin, that bodes very well for Barbara Bollier, who is certain to run ahead of Biden. Fortunately, Kansas is not Georgia, so Bollier will only need a plurality to win.
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Calthrina950
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Posts: 15,919
United States


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« Reply #1 on: September 30, 2020, 09:58:00 AM »

Those are pretty poor numbers for Trump considering it's a Republican internal.

Knock off a few points for that and Trump is leading by high single digits, which seems pretty reasonable given the overall environment.

If Trump only wins Kansas by a single-digit margin, that bodes very well for Barbara Bollier, who is certain to run ahead of Biden. Fortunately, Kansas is not Georgia, so Bollier will only need a plurality to win.

Would not be surprised to see her more than 10 points ahead of him. She really is an exceptional fit for the state, and she gets a hometown boost exactly where it is needed (Johnson County - and she's from an area that has resisted D trends in the county, so that could actually swing some voters her way).

Candidate quality really matters in Kansas. We need an infinite supply of Kellys and Bolliers.

Agree with this. My hunch right now is that Marshall will win a narrow victory-but as I just said above, and have said many times before, Bollier does have a legitimate shot, and Republicans cannot treat this race as a give-me that they will win under any circumstances. Kansas does have a definitive Democratic trend, that cannot be attributed solely to Sam Brownback's failures.
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