Calthrina950
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« on: February 03, 2022, 03:30:37 PM » |
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It is interesting to read this in hindsight. I find it fascinating that Florida was only considered "Lean Democratic", and that early polls showed Nelson in a somewhat competitive race. He went on to beat Katherine Harris by 22%. Minnesota was thought to be a tossup, but Klobuchar went on to win her first term by 20%. Nebraska was seen only as "Lean Democratic", but Nelson went on to win reelection with more than 60% of the vote.
Pennsylvania was also only "Lean Democratic", but Casey ended up beating Santorum by 18%-one of the largest margins of defeat ever for an incumbent. Virginia was seen as "Likely Republican" and Allen was viewed as popular, yet he lost narrowly to Webb. And it's interesting that West Virginia wasn't seen as "Safe Democratic", with current Sen. Shelley Moore-Capito (who was then in the House) identified as a credible challenger to Byrd. But she didn't run that year, and Byrd won his final term by a landslide.
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