"new" suburban voters

[NHPolitico]

One of the most striking electoral developments in the 1990s was the capture by the Democrats of the upper middle class suburban votes in some sections of the country, such as the northeast, the midwest and the west coast.

These are areas that had voted pretty strongly Republican on a consistent basis going back a long way.

Does anybody want to make any predictions on how these areas will vote in 2004 for president?  The suburban vote could make the difference in states like Connecticut, New Jersey, Illinois and California.

Will national security issues, and the threat of Democratic tax increases (even people just scraping by in these expensive areas would be considered "rich" under the Democratic tax plans) turn these people back to the Republicans, or will they stick with the Democrats for other reasons, perhaps such as social issues?

We learn how "security moms" vote for president. The suspense of it all.

[NHPolitico]

and the threat of Democratic tax increases (even people just scraping by in these expensive areas would be considered "rich" under the Democratic tax plans) turn these people back to the Republicans, or will they stick with the Democrats for other reasons, perhaps such as social issues?

I think they may buy into the "I'll only raise taxes on the top 2% or 1% or whatever the percent of the week is and keep tax cuts for little ole you" of Kerry and Lieberman.