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Author Topic: New Hampshire  (Read 20079 times)
NHPolitico
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Posts: 2,303


« on: January 01, 2004, 10:46:27 AM »

It's been said that voters in SD want Democrats in DC to bring back money and Republicans in SD to manage it.

I think presidential elections are a better way to judge the voting inclinations of states!

I think elections for Congress (especially the House) are a better way to gauge the political climate of a particular era than elections for President are. America was far far ***FAR*** more conservative under Clinton than under Reagan.
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NHPolitico
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Posts: 2,303


« Reply #1 on: January 10, 2004, 01:03:58 PM »

Why is NH so different from neighbouring Vermont, Mass and RI in it's voting inclinations? It seems to be much more inclined to the GOP than the region as a whole. Why? Is it based purely on fiscal policy or is it more socially conservative?

Vermont would be more similar if not for the immigration of liberals from New York who wanted to turn the state into a flower power commune of goofy idealism.  

One interesting trend is that the richer the state has become (the richer the residents have become), the more inclined they are to support more social spending and higher taxes-- the story of the rest of New England and the whole Yankee area of the country.  So far, the desire hasn't really bubbled up with any vigor, but it's there. Maybe a case of guilty rich syndrome. Who knows?  

The courts have gotten engaged in deciding how much should be spent on education and that puts pressure on low tax rates, too.

The state really embraced its identity of low taxes and individual liberty under Meldrim Thomson. Before then, the state was more Eisenhower Republicanism than Reagan Republicanism. Thomson came up with all sorts of pithy quotes that Reagan conservatives salivate over-- "Ax the tax," "Keep your guns," "Live free or die," "They are wrong: My beliefs [aren't rooted in the 19th-century as I've been accused, but instead] are rooted in the values of the 17th century, and I'm proud of it." He also thought the national guard should have access to nuclear weapons.  Now, all of our statewide elected leaders are Reagan conservatives.  Even Bradley and Bass are supportive of supply-side tax policy.  

I will say that social conservatism isn't a big factor here.  New England believes in Frost's "good fences make good neighbors" statement. New Hampshire pretty much does, too.  There are far fewer churches in the region-- even in Republican New Hampshire-- than in Southern states. The churches we do have are dry and non-controversial. Even Yankee catholic churches aren't as strict as varieties elsewhere.
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NHPolitico
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Posts: 2,303


« Reply #2 on: January 10, 2004, 04:30:15 PM »

Well, if New Hampshire truly does support fiscal responsibility and smaller government, I can't see how Bush would be popular there. Rather, it seems that New Hamsphire likes tax cuts, period.

It's like David Brooks has said, the modern Republican Party has basicly declared defeat on things like Social Security, Medicare, Welfare, Medicaid, the Dept of Education, etc.  The GOP now stands for trying to bring some free marketism to these programs, but they don't disagree with these programs' right to exist.  GOP voters here in NH and across the country don't expect Bush to shut down these programs and departments.  

Of the $209B three-year discretionary increase under Bush, 76% of that increase ($159B) has been for defense and domestic security.

During that same period, spending for all remaining discretionary programs has grown from $331B to $381B. That's 15%, or 5% a year.

Yes, spending could have been cut even less than 5% per year, but Bush wanted to give prescription drug coverage to the elderly, subsidies to farmers, etc. (the compassionate part of his agenda, I guess). Voters can tell him in November if they disagree with spending on these programs.
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NHPolitico
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Posts: 2,303


« Reply #3 on: January 12, 2004, 09:39:28 AM »

I will say that social conservatism isn't a big factor here.  New England believes in Frost's "good fences make good neighbors" statement. New Hampshire pretty much does, too.  There are far fewer churches in the region-- even in Republican New Hampshire-- than in Southern states. The churches we do have are dry and non-controversial. Even Yankee catholic churches aren't as strict as varieties elsewhere.

So, on social issues, NH would be in the middle of the pack nationally on abortion, gay rights, Iraqi war, etc.?

Would Democrats be competitive if they ran as a fiscal conservative and a social liberal?

Also, isn't it true that NH is the only state that doesn't require a car driver or passenger to wear a seatbelt?

It's true that we don't have adult seatbelt laws, yes.

Culturally, the state is libertarian.  They support the war, though, and support some limits on abortion access.
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