GA-SEN 2022 Megathread: Werewolves and Vampires (user search)
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  GA-SEN 2022 Megathread: Werewolves and Vampires (search mode)
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Author Topic: GA-SEN 2022 Megathread: Werewolves and Vampires  (Read 148932 times)
YE
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Posts: 15,975


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -0.52

« on: December 06, 2022, 09:58:04 PM »

It's important to note, as Wasserman does himself, that that tweet does not represent an official call by any TV network (and not one by DDNN either).
Personally, I don't believe in calling a race for one candidate when the other candidate is leading or may gain a lead.

Karl Rove is that you?
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YE
Modadmin
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*****
Posts: 15,975


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -0.52

« Reply #1 on: December 06, 2022, 11:03:17 PM »

Look at Walker's NFL stats. Pretty meh. Yes I know he wasted a few years on Trump's bad USFL team.

Yet the Vikings thought it would w a good idea to trade for him for like 10 draft picks and start a Cowboys dynasty.
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YE
Modadmin
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*****
Posts: 15,975


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -0.52

« Reply #2 on: December 07, 2022, 12:52:45 AM »

The Polls overestimated Democratic Support once again in this Runoff just like in 2021.

Warnock will win maybe 51.2 % to 48.8 % so a 2.4 Percentage Point Win.

After tonights Performance JON OSSOFF for me is a sure GONER in 2026 regardless if it's a Biden or Republican Midterm bcuz he won't be able to replicate the Warnock Coalition from 2021 and 2022.

Ossoff is probably the luckiest Man in the Senate. The Reason: Warnock dragged him over the line in 2021.

How are the Republicans going to win Georgia in 4 years when the start will probably be another 2-3% more black at the very least?
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YE
Modadmin
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,975


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -0.52

« Reply #3 on: December 07, 2022, 12:54:32 AM »

Not sure what to make of this.  The final result is going to be almost Warnock +3.  Not a blowout, but not particularly close, either.  A lot like the 2012 presidential election.  Also not sure if this qualifies as a polling error or not.  The consensus here did shift a bit too much toward "OMG Warnock by double digits!"  but we got the winner right, and it's not like it was Warnock +0.5 either.

+3 might as well by a landslide in such a polarized and inelastic state.
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