2020 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread v2 (user search)
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  2020 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread v2 (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2020 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread v2  (Read 169265 times)
YE
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Posts: 15,970


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -0.52
« on: July 21, 2020, 11:22:57 PM »
Quote from: Rep. Gracile on July 21, 2020, 06:16:38 PM
The DCCC has started running digital ads in three battleground districts in Texas (TX-10, TX-22, TX-24):

https://www.texastribune.org/theblast/2020/07/21/#dccc-launches-digital-ads-against-3-republicans-ba

Hopefully this is a sign they aren't leaving Siegel in the dust.
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YE
Modadmin
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Posts: 15,970


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -0.52
« Reply #1 on: August 12, 2020, 10:55:53 AM »
Quote from: Nation As A Whole on August 12, 2020, 10:45:45 AM
MN-07 CLF internal (R):

Fischbach 52%
Peterson (R-inc) 42%



No presidential numbers.


RIP Peterson. Or at least tempting to do so given this is also around the time in the election cycle ND-Sen started to break away.
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YE
Modadmin
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*****
Posts: 15,970


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -0.52
« Reply #2 on: August 13, 2020, 09:18:05 AM »
Quote from: Roll Roons on August 12, 2020, 12:24:45 PM
Inside Elections has come up with a list of GOP-held seats they list as Safe R, but are potentially worth watching in a huge wave. Trump won all of these districts in 2016 with 52-58 percent. 
https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/house-races-to-watch

CA-04 (McClintock)
CA-08 (Open, Cook)
CA-22 (Nunes)
CA-50 (Open, Hunter)
FL-18 (Mast)
IL-16 (Kinzinger)
KS-02 (Open, Watkins)
KY-06 (Barr)
MI-02 (Huizenga)
MI-07 (Walberg)
MN-08 (Stauber)
NE-01 (Fortenberry)
NV-02 (Amodei)
NJ-04 (Smith)
NY-21 (Stefanik)
NY-23 (Reed)
NC-09 (Bishop)
OH-12 (Balderson)
OH-14 (Joyce)
OH-16 (Gonzalez)
SC-02 (Wilson)
TX-03 (Taylor)
TX-17 (Open, Flores)
TX-31 (Carter)
VA-01 (Wittman)
WI-01 (Steil)
WI-06 (Grothman)

I have my doubts about most of these seats, but could any realistically be in play? I feel like a lot of the incumbents are pretty strong and have a good change of significantly outperforming Trump.

TX-03, TX-31, KS-02, CA-22, MN-08, KY-06 and maybe NV-02 are the only ones I consider plausible. The rest are serious reaches.
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YE
Modadmin
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,970


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -0.52
« Reply #3 on: August 14, 2020, 10:18:59 AM »
Why is MN-08 now Safe R? I don’t know a ton about that race but I was really sad it flipped two years ago.
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YE
Modadmin
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*****
Posts: 15,970


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -0.52
« Reply #4 on: August 16, 2020, 10:15:57 AM »
It really isn’t.
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