Most overrated/underrated Senate candidates? Part III (2020) (user search)
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  Most overrated/underrated Senate candidates? Part III (2020) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Most overrated/underrated Senate candidates? Part III (2020)  (Read 1759 times)
Alabama_Indy10
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« on: December 09, 2018, 07:10:14 PM »

Overrated
Steve Daines: Daines is really not that popular and if Bullock runs, which I'm still holding out hope that he does, this race is a Tossup. Daines has kinda blended in with the furniture in Washington and hasn't made much of an impression on anyone. He's definitely not safe, especially if Bullock runs. Bullock is much more like Maggie Hassan or Rick Scott than Bredesen or Strickland. I kinda agree that we don't necessarily NEED Bullock to run but I don't get the feeling the Dem bench is big enough or filled with A-list candidates that could actually beat Daines in a Presidential year. Bullock is definitely our best bet against Daines, and his Senate candidacy would help Democrats in the House race and the Governor's race.
Thom Tillis: Everyone seems to think that Maine is more competitive than North Carolina, which is completely ridiculous. North Carolina is trending Democratic, albeit very slowly, and has a popular Democratic Governor who will be at the top of the ticket in 2020. Tillis isn't really an Unbeatable Titan(unless he still has the beard in 2020) and I think the Democratic bench is very strong there too. Trump is going to do worse in every swing state in 2020 unless something drastically changes and North Carolina will likely be closer on the Presidential level, though I think Trump still wins, but that will also hurt Tillis and help the Democrat. I think the best Democratic candidate would state Sen. Jeff Jackson.
Chris Sununu: Sununu is probably not running anyway, but there's no way in hell that he's beating one of the most popular senators in the country. Shaheen has a strong brand in New Hampshire and is very likable too. SI have family in New Hampshire and they really don't like Sununu and say that if Democrats had just had a better candidate, Sununu would have lost. They see him as inexperienced and not serious enough to be Governor, let alone a Senator. But, he's probably not running anyway.
Ruben Gallego: Arguably, Sinema won because she ran a moderate campaign in a state that's still pretty conservative and against a candidate that had to tack right to win a late-in-the-year primary. Gallego is just too liberal to win statewide and I think nominating him would effectively give the seat to the GOP. I like him as a politician, but I think he's just too liberal to carve the same path that Sinema did in order to win. The best candidate for this seat is probably Greg Stanton, who would basically be pulling a Jacky Rosen. He's much more moderate and would do well in Maricopa County.
Underrated
David Perdue: Perdue is a likable guy and has a strong personal brand in the state, while also having the advantage of the last name Perdue. Sorry, but Stacey Abrams is not our best candidate. She just lost a statewide office to a TERRIBLE candidate and people aren't going to want to vote for a loser so soon after her loss. I love Stacey Abrams and I hope she runs for Governor in 2022 or even Congress in 2020, but she would not win if she runs for Senate. Other than Abrams, Ossoff would also not do well. And I don't know a lot about Teresa Tomlinson, the Mayor of Columbus. This race will be competitive but it starts out at Lean R for me.
Doug Jones: Jones is really popular in Alabama and is very likable and respected in many political circles in the state. He's definietly the underdog but this race is not over, especially if the GOP nominates a Roy Moore-esque candidate. Jones is moderate, common sense, and is very good at retail politics. Don't count him out.
Susan Collins: While the Kavanaugh vote hurt her, it will not be a major issue in 2020 and Collins is still incredibly popular in Maine. Also, if Pingree runs it'll be a do-over from her last failed Senate bid, and do-over bids rarely go better than the first. Collins is a moderate and actually a very good fit for the state, so if she runs for reelection she's probably pretty safe. But, if Collins retires, this'll be a pretty easy pickup for Dems.   
 

I can promise you Doug Jones isn’t very popular in Alabama anymore.
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Alabama_Indy10
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« Reply #1 on: December 09, 2018, 08:14:35 PM »

Overrated
Steve Daines: Daines is really not that popular and if Bullock runs, which I'm still holding out hope that he does, this race is a Tossup. Daines has kinda blended in with the furniture in Washington and hasn't made much of an impression on anyone. He's definitely not safe, especially if Bullock runs. Bullock is much more like Maggie Hassan or Rick Scott than Bredesen or Strickland. I kinda agree that we don't necessarily NEED Bullock to run but I don't get the feeling the Dem bench is big enough or filled with A-list candidates that could actually beat Daines in a Presidential year. Bullock is definitely our best bet against Daines, and his Senate candidacy would help Democrats in the House race and the Governor's race.
Thom Tillis: Everyone seems to think that Maine is more competitive than North Carolina, which is completely ridiculous. North Carolina is trending Democratic, albeit very slowly, and has a popular Democratic Governor who will be at the top of the ticket in 2020. Tillis isn't really an Unbeatable Titan(unless he still has the beard in 2020) and I think the Democratic bench is very strong there too. Trump is going to do worse in every swing state in 2020 unless something drastically changes and North Carolina will likely be closer on the Presidential level, though I think Trump still wins, but that will also hurt Tillis and help the Democrat. I think the best Democratic candidate would state Sen. Jeff Jackson.
Chris Sununu: Sununu is probably not running anyway, but there's no way in hell that he's beating one of the most popular senators in the country. Shaheen has a strong brand in New Hampshire and is very likable too. SI have family in New Hampshire and they really don't like Sununu and say that if Democrats had just had a better candidate, Sununu would have lost. They see him as inexperienced and not serious enough to be Governor, let alone a Senator. But, he's probably not running anyway.
Ruben Gallego: Arguably, Sinema won because she ran a moderate campaign in a state that's still pretty conservative and against a candidate that had to tack right to win a late-in-the-year primary. Gallego is just too liberal to win statewide and I think nominating him would effectively give the seat to the GOP. I like him as a politician, but I think he's just too liberal to carve the same path that Sinema did in order to win. The best candidate for this seat is probably Greg Stanton, who would basically be pulling a Jacky Rosen. He's much more moderate and would do well in Maricopa County.
Underrated
David Perdue: Perdue is a likable guy and has a strong personal brand in the state, while also having the advantage of the last name Perdue. Sorry, but Stacey Abrams is not our best candidate. She just lost a statewide office to a TERRIBLE candidate and people aren't going to want to vote for a loser so soon after her loss. I love Stacey Abrams and I hope she runs for Governor in 2022 or even Congress in 2020, but she would not win if she runs for Senate. Other than Abrams, Ossoff would also not do well. And I don't know a lot about Teresa Tomlinson, the Mayor of Columbus. This race will be competitive but it starts out at Lean R for me.
Doug Jones: Jones is really popular in Alabama and is very likable and respected in many political circles in the state. He's definietly the underdog but this race is not over, especially if the GOP nominates a Roy Moore-esque candidate. Jones is moderate, common sense, and is very good at retail politics. Don't count him out.
Susan Collins: While the Kavanaugh vote hurt her, it will not be a major issue in 2020 and Collins is still incredibly popular in Maine. Also, if Pingree runs it'll be a do-over from her last failed Senate bid, and do-over bids rarely go better than the first. Collins is a moderate and actually a very good fit for the state, so if she runs for reelection she's probably pretty safe. But, if Collins retires, this'll be a pretty easy pickup for Dems.   
 

I can promise you Doug Jones isn’t very popular in Alabama anymore.

I mean, you'd probably know better than I do the mood in Alabama but his approval rating in October was at 43% with a 30% disapproval, which is pretty good for a Democrat from Alabama.

His Kavanauagh vote hurt him. His Republican opponent, no matter who it is, won’t let him live it down.
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