KS-SEN 2020 Megathread: Marshall overperforms and wins

[Alabama_Indy10]

If Roberts will run again for 5th term, then this race with good Dem candidate (not Sharice Davids) this can be Lean D and Democrat van win this race in the end
If Roberts will retire, then GOP nominee will be probably Roger Marshall, so race will be Likely R with anyone Democrat.
Only one way, when this race will be Tossup or Lean D if Roberts retires, if GOP nominee will be Kobach or Brownback

Lean D is REALLY stretching it.

[Alabama_Indy10]

3rd most vulnerable seat after AZ and CO

You forgot THE most vulnerable seat.

[Alabama_Indy10]

Kobach literally got 43% of the vote; this should terrify the GOP.

And those 6% of Orman voters aren't guaranteed GOP votes, either.

What should terrify them? That a nut job like Kris Kobach only got 43%? LOL

[Alabama_Indy10]

All those people won. Big.

That doesn't mean they are good

And you can believe that, but it wasn't the question I was asking.

Show me a candidate that Democrats nominated who was so out of the mainstream that it caused them to lose a sapphire blue state?

Look. I'm not saying KS is lean D or anything, but I believe Laura Kelly has opened up a path to winning there.

I just answered your question.

[Alabama_Indy10]

This seat would be Lean D if it were Kobach vs Sebelius.

I hope that is what happens.

I will rate this matchup Lean D only in Kobach vs Kelly race
Kobach vs Sebelius is Tossup

Why would Kelly run for the senate?