Alberta General Election - May 5th, 2015

[Bacon King]

Woah, what did Prentice do? I swear I was reading only a month ago that he was crazy popular.

Everybody is mad about something in the recently-proposed budget.  Depending on the person, it could be one or more of the hike in sin taxes, the hike in the gasoline tax, the hike in income taxes on high-earners, the re-introduction of a health care premium, the absence of a hike in corporate taxes or a sales tax, the moderate spending cuts or the decisions to hold the line on spending (depending on ministry), etc.

Somehow I don't feel that "piss off literally everyone just before announcing an election" is a very winning strategy

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The other parties can just make empty promises until after the election

[Bacon King]

Going by daveberta.ca I looked at all the nominations so far and put this together to see who exactly is running against who:

PC NDP WR LIB AP will all be on the ballot together in 11 constituencies

PC NDP WR AP will be on the ballot without LIB in 23 constituencies
PC NDP WR LIB will be on the ballot without AP in 18 constituencies**
PC NDP LIB AP will be on the ballot without WR in 1 constituency

** = in Edmonton-Centre the Alberta Party is not running a candidate because they have explicitly endorsed the Liberal candidate

PC NDP WR together without LIB AP in 26 constituencies
PC NDP LIB together without WR AP in 4 constituencies
PC NDP AP together without WR LIB in 1 constituency

Just PC NDP without WR LIB AP in 3 constituencies

[Bacon King]

Its worth noting that 1abvote uses Google Surveys, which is a very different methodology than what other pollsters are doing and still something that's mostly untested for political polling. Their numbers have routinely placed NDP (and Alberta Party) higher and Wildrose lower than what the other pollsters are showing in this election. All three polls that have shown NDP in the lead are 1abvote polls

[Bacon King]

With these numbers, I have 44 NDP, 42 Wildrose and 1 PC....Jim Prentice himself.

LOL

Hoping for this result for sheer comedy value

[Bacon King]

lol

[Bacon King]

Also worth noting that the poll was conducted before the debate and therefore doesn't include any post-debate bounce

[Bacon King]

Her actual words were much more nuanced:

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link: http://calgaryherald.com/news/politics/notley-works-to-build-calgary-support-but-pipeline-and-royalty-issues-loom

[Bacon King]

BK FAMILY TRACKER: INTERNATIONAL EDITION

I have a cousin in Calgary-Fort who reports "the orange party has more signs and stuff than everyone else combined" and he was visited at home by canvassing NDP candidate Joe Ceci. No contact from any other candidates. He's since seen Ceci twice more at community events.

[Bacon King]

Isn't it already the last minute though?

[Bacon King]

PRENTICE LEAD DOWN TO THREE PERCENT

[Bacon King]

NDP was formed from the CCF. the CCF was founded in Calgary.

THE NDP HAS FINALLY COME HOME

[Bacon King]

I we had something like the "Blue Georgia is turning into Red Georgia" gif. This time it actually happened!

this is close-ish

[Bacon King]

NDP just made 600,000 votes

[Bacon King]

So it looks like you've redistributed the advance polls? We're working on a map right now, and it looks like Blakeman won a lot of E-Day polls.

I don't think I see any difference there between your map and his

[Bacon King]

So it looks like you've redistributed the advance polls? We're working on a map right now, and it looks like Blakeman won a lot of E-Day polls.

I don't think I see any difference there between your map and his

I haven't made a map; a colleague of has made one and asked for my input, and we have yet to publicize it.  But now that I've double checked it, I see that we made an error (hence why we haven't publicized it)

my bad, when liltommy shared a map on the previous page I thought it was you sharing the one you were talking about; all you orange Ontarios look the same to me