Overall gay marriage support in the Senate: with map!

[Bacon King]

I figured this effortpost deserved its own thread


Democrats:
49 Supporters
5 Opponents (Donnelly, Manchin, Heitkamp, Johnson, Pryor)
1 Ambiguous (Landrieu)

Republicans:
2 Supporter (Kirk, Portman)
41 Opponents
2 Ambiguous (Collins, Murkowski)

Notes:

• I counted Carper, Kaine, and Rockefeller as supporters; they haven't explicitly endorsed gay marriage, but have made statements that make their beliefs somewhat obvious (and all three signed onto an amicus brief arguing that DADT be overturned in full)
  
• Hagan and Tester both sound like they'd be obvious supporters of gay marriage if they didn't have reelection concerns
  
• Landrieu avoids making any statements on the issue at all costs is evolving!
  
• Casey looks to be in the middle of an "evolution" on the issue and is clearly hoping the Supreme Court solves everything so he won't have to make any difficult votes
  
• Donnelly sounds like he's beginning an "evolution" of his own
• Heitkamp would probably support gay marriage if she was from a liberal state; the other five Democratic opponents appear to genuinely oppose it on principle

Also here's a map!

30% shade means one Senator from the state has an ambiguous position. Gray states have one Senator in support and one opposed.

UPDATE: Current as of 4/4

[Bacon King]

Map updated to include Tester!

I figured this effortpost deserved its own thread

If I were a moderator I'd be hard fighting the temptation to go "you figured wrong. Merged" on you.

The real question is the House.  By the time the House might consider repealing DOMA, the Senate would likely be clearly in favor of repeal.

Indeed; I'd like to do a full analysis of the House as well when I have the time to look through everyone. On that note, thanks to Sheliak for the list

[Bacon King]

Would you consider putting Paul in the "ambiguous"?

Only if he says something to indicate he might be support gay marriage. He doesn't, though; the only remotely ambiguous comments he's made on the subject have been that he thinks it's an issue states should decide. Effectively that just means he'd oppose a Federal constitutional amendment banning it.

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[Bacon King]

So... can we expect Susan Collins to "evolve" tomorrow or in the next few days? I mean come on. Gay marriage is already legal in Maine.

Personally, I doubt Collins will explicitly support same-sex marriage until after winning the GOP primary for her Senate seat next year. I'd imagine she's probably a bit paranoid about getting a primary challenge from a LePage type.

[Bacon King]

First post updated!