Bleh, worse news I've heard about the election

[Bacon King]

Alaska, Arkansas, Delaware, District of Columbia, Georgia, Hawaii, Idaho, Kentucky, Louisiana, Nebraska, North Dakota, Oklahoma, Rhode Island, South Carolina, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, West Virginia and Wyoming.

[Bacon King]

So does this mean we will never know the true measure of party ID?

They are still including these 19 states + DC into the national exit poll, but they aren't doing nearly enough surveying for them to have full exit polls of their own.

[Bacon King]

I'm familiar enough with Georgia and its politics that as soon as precinct-level data is released I should be able to estimate an exit poll (though not for things like "most important issue", and I doubt partisan affiliation would be anything more than a vaguely educated guess). I could possibly do Louisiana as well but I'd probably need some help from someone like Miles when looking upstate.

Hell, we could all combine our areas of expertise and put together a collaborative "Unofficial Atlas Exit Poll" for these states. Anyone interested?

[Bacon King]

First they don't poll these state at all this cycle (or just barely) and now they don't do exits? Why? Are people satisfied with the one-party rule we have in half of America?

It's mostly the fact that polling has gotten more expensive so resources are more likely to be spent where it's relevant.

Exit polling is more difficult because early voting has soared in popularity and they have to get an accurate sample from early voters, which makes it a lot more difficult. Phone polls are plagued by record high refusal rates and increasing numbers of cellphone-only households (and pollsters who call cellphones have to deal with even higher refusal rates!) so polls have to make much more calls than they used to just to get the same number of respondants.