The Allan Lichtman Test: Obama will win re-election (user search)
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  The Allan Lichtman Test: Obama will win re-election (search mode)
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Author Topic: The Allan Lichtman Test: Obama will win re-election  (Read 18576 times)
Bacon King
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« on: August 31, 2011, 07:33:21 PM »

It goes without saying that the "13 Keys" test is entirely arbitrary, overly simplistic, and inaccurate. However, even his analysis here leaves much to be desired-

Policy change: the stimulus and healthcare? That's enough to give that key to Obama? The 2009 stimulus bill was hardly Obama's; most Americans lump it together with the Emergency Economic Stabilization Act passed in 2008, and regardless Congress had been working on the 2009 bill for weeks before Obama took office. As for the healthcare bill, I don't think you can call it a policy "change" if it won't take effect until 2017 and might even possibly be ruled unconstitutional before the 2012 election.

Foreign Policy Failures: Most Americans are starting to view Afghanistan this way.

Challenger Charisma: What determines this is how the eventual GOP nominee manages to brand his/herself to the electorate at large, not the opinion of a single academic. Charisma is subjective.
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