I’m gonna be quite pissed if Iowa decides to go from Trump +9 to Biden
I am afraid that, you will be pissed.
56% Iowa Dems have already voted, compare to only 35% IA R have voted so far.
60% IA will be early voting turn out.
R needs to win election day by 68-30, if Independents voted evenly in early voting.
If independent early voters are Dem leaning , like 55-45 or 60-40, which is the most likely scenario as independent IA early voters are coming disproportionately from Polk,Scott,Lin, Johnson ,Clinton county then R needs to win E day vote by 72-26 , and it must be huge .
