Map:
278-244 Biden win with Michigan uncalled.
Data:
My Thoughts:
1) Southern states could really be at play this year. Statewide polling in GA & TX were near perfect in 2016 and 2018. Let's see if the trend continues.
2) Midwestern states are still only a polling error away for Trump, including MI/MN/PA/WI.
3) Note: This is assuming the election is held today. Polling aggregates will change between now and November and the race could look much different heading in to election day.
4) My point is that everything is still up in the air. Trump could still win on election day. Likewise, Biden could sweep all the states on my list. Judging by some of the comments on this board I think we have already forgotten polls should not be taken for gospel.
If the 2016 map stays the same but Biden flips Arizona & Florida, it's over.
