Bannon - "Trump will reach 400 electoral votes in 2020" (user search)
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  Bannon - "Trump will reach 400 electoral votes in 2020" (search mode)
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Author Topic: Bannon - "Trump will reach 400 electoral votes in 2020"  (Read 5808 times)
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ahugecat
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« on: October 15, 2017, 03:25:34 PM »

Trump won't hit 400 but will get 350+ easily.

50.8% popular vote as well.
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ahugecat
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« Reply #1 on: October 15, 2017, 03:26:52 PM »

I thought Bannon said Trump had a 30% chance of finishing his term?

Fake news.
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ahugecat
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« Reply #2 on: October 20, 2017, 02:58:27 PM »

The states colored in red would vote for any Democratic nominee, even in a GOP landslide. That's 196 EV. If you add NH, CO and NM, you're at 214, which is probably the absolute D floor.



I wouldn't include Virginia.
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ahugecat
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« Reply #3 on: October 20, 2017, 04:11:58 PM »

The states colored in red would vote for any Democratic nominee, even in a GOP landslide. That's 196 EV. If you add NH, CO and NM, you're at 214, which is probably the absolute D floor.


I wouldn't include Virginia.

The margins in VA are somewhat deceiving. While any Republican will get at least 43% of the vote in a decent year, it's exceedingly hard to make up the last 4-5% that they need from NOVA to win statewide, as the Appalachian parts are getting redder and redder, but they're bleeding population while all the major areas are swing or solid D.

They say that but then a Republican gets close anyway.

Romney got 47.3%.

Republicans could have won in 2013 and 2014 if they put their full force behind it - they also bought into the "Virginia is gone for Republicans forever" hype only to be surprised on election night.

Virginia isn't near California, New Jersey, or New York's level.

All Trump had to do was win 75% of the former Romney voters in NOVA to win the state.
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ahugecat
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« Reply #4 on: October 20, 2017, 04:15:15 PM »

>Trump has a 30% chance of being removed from office
 

Fake news.
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ahugecat
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« Reply #5 on: October 21, 2017, 11:30:42 AM »

I don't get why you guys are flipping New Jersey before Connecticut. Trump lost NJ by a larger margin than CT.

Because people think that Connecticut is entirely Fairfield County which is a bad fit for Trump.

The three states in which Donald Trump is most well known are, due to the media of New York City:

Connecticut, New Jersey, and New York, in alphabetical order.

Connecticut has some St. Louis-like dumps in Hartford and New Haven, just as New Jersey has Newark, Paterson, and Trenton. Camden makes Detroit look good by contrast.

You know if I said ANY of this I would have been called a racist, that I am using dog whistles, and I'd have a Lee Atwater quote thrown at me lol.

Crazy world eh?
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ahugecat
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Posts: 868


« Reply #6 on: October 21, 2017, 03:18:18 PM »

Just wait until that dunce Kasich splits the leftist vote.

Any "leftist" who votes for John Kasich, is, quite frankly, a moron.

Kasich is super left wing.
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ahugecat
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Posts: 868


« Reply #7 on: October 21, 2017, 05:04:05 PM »

Some people were predicting Obama was going to win over 400+ EV's back in 2008 by winning a combo of Montana, missouri which he lost narrowly and Texas, Georgia, Arizona. It didnt happen so spoiler: its not going to happen.

Yeah but Trump is different.
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