Either someone really extreme like MTG or Boebert or someone boring and uncharismatic like Larry Hogan.
Larry Hogan would destroy her. Suburbs would run back to the GOP in droves. Sure he probably wouldn’t get the rural turnout Trump did, but it’s not like they’re gonna vote for AOC! She would get McGoverned.
No she wouldn't, the nation is far too polarized for that kind of blowout.
She would win all the Democratic strongholds, but by less than Biden or Hillary, and all of the competitive states would go to Hogan, including states like New Hampshire and Maine at large.
McGovern lost by 23%, she would lose, but not by that amount. She would not get "McGovern'd."
Hence the reason I said she would still win the Democratic strongholds. But against a reasonable Republican like Hogan, AOC would lose by as much as a candidate in the polarized era can lose by.
Larry Hogan is not some Republican titan. Most of the base doesn't give a rats ass about him, turnout in conservative areas would be way down and the race would be a tossup or lean D.
Ever heard of negative partisanship? Turnout would not be down at all.
