IA-Selzer: Trump +7 (user search)
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  IA-Selzer: Trump +7 (search mode)
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Author Topic: IA-Selzer: Trump +7  (Read 36312 times)
Bootes Void
iamaganster123
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,677
Canada


« on: October 31, 2020, 06:34:43 PM »
Damn, the doomers might be onto something. This might not be good for Wisconsin or Minnesota or Iowa just becomes into a sold red state going forward. the next three days are going to suck
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iamaganster123
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,677
Canada


« Reply #1 on: October 31, 2020, 07:49:23 PM »
im not a doomer but this had me shook. by the way, no other polls are showing any "tightening. If there was we would have seen it by now
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iamaganster123
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,677
Canada


« Reply #2 on: October 31, 2020, 07:59:49 PM »
Quote from: Landslide Lyndon on October 31, 2020, 07:50:28 PM
Woof!


Oh snap. We are going to see lots of wars on election night
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iamaganster123
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,677
Canada


« Reply #3 on: October 31, 2020, 08:04:11 PM »
Btw SurveyMonkey has Iowa tied which correctly predicted Trump +10 margin 4 years ago and yet there is no meltdowns over those. Hopefully Dems get motivated for the last couple of days and prove the doomers wrong
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iamaganster123
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,677
Canada


« Reply #4 on: October 31, 2020, 08:10:12 PM »
Quote from: morgieb on October 31, 2020, 08:08:59 PM


Weighting by CD but not education? The f**k?
trump lead maybe larger or smaller, or selzer is no longer a gold standard
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iamaganster123
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,677
Canada


« Reply #5 on: October 31, 2020, 09:11:23 PM »
Lets get this to 20 pages, this thread is LEGENDARY!!
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iamaganster123
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,677
Canada


« Reply #6 on: October 31, 2020, 09:16:45 PM »
Quote from: Jayde on October 31, 2020, 09:13:29 PM
It has been about 2 hours since the poll dropped and I intentionally muted "iowa" on twitter and didn't peek into this thread too often so I could gather some thoughts about this.

Ultimately, I think everyone here has been overhyping this poll.

In their last poll, it was a tie at 47% to 47%, in this poll, Trump leads 48% to 41%. Has Biden really lost 6% of his support in just a month? Well, no, of course not.

This poll differs from the last poll in which they included an option for people who've already voted: "don't want to tell." And that option is taking.. 5%! It's also presumably taking up a significant chunk of the people who say they've already voted, which is a group likely to benefit Biden.

It's not amazing news for the Democrats, but the jank crosstabs and the inclusion of the "I don't want to tell you who I voted for option" might make this poll look deceptively good to Trump.
that question is just straight up bizzare, wtf. No other pollster shows this drop
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iamaganster123
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,677
Canada


« Reply #7 on: October 31, 2020, 09:35:10 PM »
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iamaganster123
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,677
Canada


« Reply #8 on: October 31, 2020, 10:09:02 PM »
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iamaganster123
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,677
Canada


« Reply #9 on: October 31, 2020, 10:31:10 PM »
Its been a couple hours after this poll come out, anyone with a clear head want to make something of it or is it an outlier?
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iamaganster123
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,677
Canada


« Reply #10 on: October 31, 2020, 11:50:21 PM »
Quote from: The Hunt for the Red October Surprises on October 31, 2020, 11:46:51 PM
I leave you all alone for an afternoon and you have 18 pages for one poll? Smh
You should have seen the meltdown at the time, it was insane
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iamaganster123
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,677
Canada


« Reply #11 on: November 01, 2020, 04:18:11 PM »
« Edited: November 01, 2020, 04:22:22 PM by Bootes Void »
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iamaganster123
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,677
Canada


« Reply #12 on: November 01, 2020, 07:12:29 PM »
its a dog
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iamaganster123
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,677
Canada


« Reply #13 on: November 05, 2020, 04:19:10 PM »
Ann should poll the Midwest, although polls were very off in Florida and some of the applachians areas
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