I'd think his campaign in Pennsylvania would had been a success and won the state by the slimmest of margins while Clinton holds on to Wisconsin by a tight margin and Michigan with a slightly bigger but still small margin. Trump also i'd think hold onto Florida and North Carolina because those are crucial and they were close on November 7th. And he would also win in Nevada because (as a avid 538 follower during the election) since he was winning the state polls on that day or less then 1-2% behind. And he also wins Maine's Second District since he was leading there which results in a near 290 victory like this.