Is the Republican South Starting to Crack? (user search)
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  Is the Republican South Starting to Crack? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Is the Republican South Starting to Crack?  (Read 22148 times)
ag
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« on: February 26, 2009, 10:16:43 PM »
« edited: February 26, 2009, 10:18:16 PM by ag »

So, actually quite interesting thread. The people who were saying that NC won't be in play of course didn't expect a 7% national margin, but, still, something notable happened. The huge swings in populous NC counties did materialize ahead of schedule Smiley  North Caroline swung 12.76% this time, but of the 8 counties that registered over 100 thousand votes, all but the smallest (New Hanover) reported larger swings. And Wake wasn't by far the biggest culprit.

Wake County (Raleigh) swung 16.57% giving Obama 63,890 vote margin
Mecklenburg (Charlotte) swung 20.73%, giving Obama 100,110 vote margin (!!)
Guilford County (Greensboro) swung 17.46% giving Obama 44,383 vote margin
Forsyth County (Winston-Salem) swung 19.07% giving Obama 17,411 vote margin
The already uber-Democratic Durham County swung further 15.54% giving Obama 71,103 margin
Cumberland (Fayetteville) swung 21.19% giving Obama 22,542 vote margin
Buncombe County (Asheville) swung 14.50% giving Obama 17,222 vote margin

Every single one of these counties gave Obama more than his statewide margin (14,177 votes)!

New Hanover (Wilmington) was the sole exception, with a "modest", but still double-digit, 10.65% swing and a meagre 1,399 vote margin for McCain.
 
Of the counties that swung to McCain none had over 25 thousand votes cast. In fact, of the 16 counties w/ the largest number of votes cast there was a double-digit swing in every single one.
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