5 uncalled House races (user search)
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  5 uncalled House races (search mode)
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Author Topic: 5 uncalled House races  (Read 3175 times)
ag
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« on: December 04, 2006, 04:07:09 AM »

Texas 23: Could Democrats steal this one? This race seems like the biggest remaining question mark.
Maybe, but that's a big maybe. The combined Dem total did beat Bonilla's vote (and he was the only Republican running, along with an Independent).
If the same voters show up, Rodriguez has to collect literally 99.9% of the vote from the other Democrats candidates and 1/2 the vote from the independent.  Given that the the independent was one of two Anglo candidates, that doesn't seem likely.  Nor is it likely that Rodriguez will get all the votes of those who voted for Gilliland, who dumped a lot of his own money into the race.

This is, most likely, a Rep hold, but Dems do have another chance, even besides the turnout. There are peopole out there in every election who prefer to be in the majority.  One can plausibly imagine some voters here thinking they'd rather have a majority member representing them and switching in the run off, once the majority is clear. Still, slim chance it is.
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