Burma General Election - November 8, 2015

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over Two days  of  counting the votes

Large and very poor country with very little experience organizing elections.

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So, so far, results by state/ region

Chin State
AH: NLD 6, Zomi Congress 2,  USDP 1, undeclared 3
PH: NLD 5, Zomi Congress 2, undeclared 2
State: NLD 8, USDP 4, Zomi Congress 2, undeclared 4

Kachin State
AH: NLD 7, undeclared 5
PH: NLD 12, USDP 2, Lisu NDP 1, Kachin SDP 1, undeclared 2
State: NLD 15, USDP 4, Kachin State DP 2, UDP of Kachin State 1, SNLD 1

Kayah State (all declarations in)
AH: NLD 9, USDP 2, Ind 1
PH: NLD 6, USDP 1
State: NLD 11, USDP 3

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Kayin State
AH: NLD 8, USDP 2, undeclared 2
PH: NLD 5, USDP 1, undeclared 1
State: NLD 8, USDP 3, Kayin PP 1, udeclared 2

Mon State
AH: NLD 11, Mon National Party 1
PH: NLD 9, undeclared 1
State: NLD 16, Mon National Party 2, USDP 1, All Mon Democracy Party 1

Rakhine State
AH: Arakan National Party 2, USDP 1, undeclared 9
PH: Arakan National Party 4, NLD 1, undeclared 12
State: Arakan National Party 3, Ind. 1, undeclared 30

Shan State
AH: USDP 4, NLD 3, SNLD 3, Pa O National Org. 1, Ta'arng (Palaung) NP 1
PH: USDP 15, NLD 13, SNLD 12,Ta'arng (Palaung) NP 3, Pa O Nat. Org. 2, Wa DP 1, Kokang DUP 1, canceled 7
State: SNLD 25, USDP 24, NLD 20, Pa O NO 6, Ta'arng (Palaung) NP6, Wa DP 2, Wa NUP 1, Kokang DUP 1, Lahu NDP 1, undeclared 10, canceled 14

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States were interesting, elsewhere it is a landslide

Ayeyarawady
AH: NLD 10, undeclared 2
PH: NLD 25, USDP 1
Regional: NLD 48, USDP 2, undeclared 2

Bago
AH: NLD 12
PH: NLD 24, USDP 1, undeclared 3
Regional: NLD 42, USDP 2, undeclared 12

Magwe (finished declarations - clean sweep by NLD)
AH: NLD 12
PH: NLD 25
Regional: NLD 50

Mandalay
AH: NLD 9, USDP 2, undeclared 1
PH: NLD 28, USDP 5, undeclared 3
Regional: NLD 43, USDP 6, DPM 1, undeclared 6

Sagaing
AH: NLD 9, undeclared 3
PH: NLD 19, USDP 1, undeclared 17
Regional: NLD 40, USDP 2, undeclared 32

Tanintharyi
AH: NLD 6, undeclared 6
PH:  NLD 5, undeclared 7
Regional: NLD 4, undeclared 16

Yangon
AH: NLD 8, undeclared 4
PH: NLD 41, USDP 1, undeclared 3
Regional: NLD 75, USDP 3, undeclared 15

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Can anyone confirm which constituencies didn't hold elections? Was it just the Rohingya regions? The main Rohingya party, the National Democratic Party for Human Rights, which won 4 seats in 1990, didn't win any seats at all.

Shan state all of them. Rohingya are largely disenfrachised. Also, Rakhine state has reported very little till now.

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Update, with all but 61 seats (on all levels) decided. Also including the "ethnic affairs ministers" (basically, additional state/regional legislators elected to represent minority populations), but excluding the military (a quarter of the total number of seats in each legislature - USDP will block with them , of course). It seems the military/USDP block will control the Shan legislature, but possibly nothing else.

Chin State
AH: NLD 8, Zomi Congress 2,  USDP 1, undeclared 1
PH: NLD 6, Zomi Congress 2, undeclared 1
State: NLD 10, USDP 4, Zomi Congress 2, undeclared 2

Kachin State
AH: NLD 9, Ta'ang National Development Party 1, undeclared 2
PH: NLD 12, USDP 2, Lisu NDP 1, Kachin SDP 1, undeclared 2
State: NLD 17, USDP 5, Kachin State DP 3, UDP of Kachin State 1, Lisu NDP 1, SNLD 1, undeclared 8
Ethnic affairs: undeclared 4

Kayah State (all declarations in)
AH: NLD 9, USDP 2, Ind 1
PH: NLD 6, USDP 1
State: NLD 11, USDP 3
Ethnic Affairs: USDP 1

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Kayin State (all declarations in)
AH: NLD 10, USDP 2
PH: NLD 6, USDP 1
State: NLD 10, USDP 3, Kayin PP 1
Ethnic Affairs: NLD 3

Mon State
AH: NLD 11, Mon National Party 1
PH: NLD 9, undeclared 1
State: NLD 16, Mon National Party 2, USDP 1, All Mon Democracy Party 1
Ethnic Affairs: NLD 3

Rakhine State
AH: Arakan National Party 7, NLD 1, USDP 1, undeclared 3
PH: Arakan National Party 8, NLD 2, undeclared 7
State: Arakan National Party 13, NLD 4, USDP 2, Ind. 1, undeclared 14
Ethnic Affairs: undeclared 1

Shan State (all declarations in)
AH: USDP 4, NLD 3, SNLD 3, Pa O National Org. 1, Ta'arng (Palaung) NP 1
PH: USDP 15, NLD 13, SNLD 12,Ta'arng (Palaung) NP 3, Pa O Nat. Org. 2, Wa DP 1, Kokang DUP 1, canceled 7
State: USDP 32, SNLD 25, NLD 21, Ta'arng (Palaung) NP 7, Pa O NO 6, Wa DP 2, Wa NUP 1, Kokang DUP 1, Lahu NDP 1, canceled 14
Ethnic Affairs: NLD 2, USDP 1, Lisu NDP 1, Lahu NDP 1, Akha NDP 1, Ind 1

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Ayeyarawady (all declarations in)
AH: NLD 10, undeclared 2
PH: NLD 25, USDP 1
Regional: NLD 48, USDP 2, undeclared 2
Ethnic Affairs: NLD 2

Bago
AH: NLD 12
PH: NLD 27, USDP 1
Regional: NLD 54, USDP 2
Ethnic Affairs: undeclared 1

Magwe (all declarations in - clean sweep by NLD)
AH: NLD 12
PH: NLD 25
Regional: NLD 50
Ethnic Affairs: NLD 1

Mandalay (all declarations in)
AH: NLD 10, USDP 2
PH: NLD 31, USDP 5
Regional: NLD 47, USDP 8, DPM 1
Ethnic Affairs: NLD 1

Sagaing
AH: NLD 9, undeclared 1
PH: NLD 34, USDP 1, undeclared 2
Regional: NLD 65, USDP 4, Tai-Leng NDP 1, undeclared 5
Ethnic Affairs: undeclared 2

Tanintharyi
AH: NLD 11, undeclared 1
PH:  NLD 8, undeclared 4
Regional: NLD 18, undeclared 2
Ethnic Affairs: undeclared 1

Yangon (all declarations in)
AH: NLD 12
PH: NLD 44, USDP 1
Regional: NLD 87, USDP 3
Ethnic Affairs: NLD 1, Arakan National Party 1

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We'll have the result for the remaining seats by "November 20, at the latest"

But very little is remaining: including only 1 seat in the national parliament (or 3 - some minor disagreement on that i. what I have seen), I believe, and a few more state and ethnic affairs  seats - all in Kachin State. Apparently, they are delivering ballot boxes from the remote areas on foot.

Pretty much everything has been announced today and yesterday. What is left is not going to change anything. USDP together with the military will control Shan state and ANP nearly swept Arakan. We still need to wait for Kachin, though NLD is ahead there - there might be a need for a coalition with the local parties. Everywhere else, it seems, it is NLD.

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So, this seems to be the result, except for 11 Kachin state seats still walking all the way to Naypyidaw.

Chin State
AH: NLD 9, Zomi Congress 2,  USDP 1
PH: NLD 7, Zomi Congress 2
State: NLD 12 USDP 4, Zomi Congress 2

Kachin State
AH: NLD 10, Ind. 1, undeclared 1
PH: NLD 12, USDP 2, Lisu NDP 1, Kachin SDP 1, undeclared 2
State: NLD 21, USDP 5, Kachin State DP 3, UDP of Kachin State 1, Lisu NDP 1, SNLD 1, undeclared 4
Ethnic affairs: undeclared 4

Kayah State
AH: NLD 9, USDP 2, Ind 1
PH: NLD 6, USDP 1
State: NLD 11, USDP 3
Ethnic Affairs: USDP 1

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Kayin State
AH: NLD 10, USDP 2
PH: NLD 6, USDP 1
State: NLD 10, USDP 3, Kayin PP 1
Ethnic Affairs: NLD 3

Mon State
AH: NLD 11, Mon National Party 1
PH: NLD 10
State: NLD 16, Mon National Party 2, USDP 1, All Mon Democracy Party 1
Ethnic Affairs: NLD 3

Rakhine State
AH: Arakan National Party 10, NLD 1, USDP 1
PH: Arakan National Party 12, NLD 4, USDP 1
State: Arakan National Party 24, NLD 6, USDP 3, Ind. 1
Ethnic Affairs: NLD 1

Shan State
AH: USDP 4, NLD 3, SNLD 3, Pa O National Org. 1, Ta'arng (Palaung) NP 1
PH: USDP 15, NLD 13, SNLD 12,Ta'arng (Palaung) NP 3, Pa O Nat. Org. 2, Wa DP 1, Kokang DUP 1, canceled 7
State: USDP 32, SNLD 25, NLD 21, Ta'arng (Palaung) NP 7, Pa O NO 6, Wa DP 2, Wa NUP 1, Kokang DUP 1, Lahu NDP 1, canceled 14
Ethnic Affairs: NLD 2, USDP 1, Lisu NDP 1, Lahu NDP 1, Akha NDP 1, Ind 1

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Ayeyarawady
AH: NLD 12
PH: NLD 25, USDP 1
Regional: NLD 49, USDP 3
Ethnic Affairs: NLD 2

Bago
AH: NLD 12
PH: NLD 27, USDP 1
Regional: NLD 54, USDP 2
Ethnic Affairs: NLD 1

Magwe
AH: NLD 12
PH: NLD 25
Regional: NLD 50
Ethnic Affairs: NLD 1

Mandalay
AH: NLD 10, USDP 2
PH: NLD 31, USDP 5
Regional: NLD 47, USDP 8, DPM 1
Ethnic Affairs: NLD 1

Sagaing
AH: NLD 12
PH: NLD 36, USDP 1
Regional: NLD 68, USDP 5, Tai-Leng NDP 1
Ethnic Affairs: NDL 1, Tai-Leng NDP 1

Tanintharyi
AH: NLD 12
PH:  NLD 10
Regional: NLD 20
Ethnic Affairs: NLD 1

Yangon
AH: NLD 12
PH: NLD 44, USDP 1
Regional: NLD 87, USDP 3
Ethnic Affairs: NLD 1, Arakan National Party 1

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Final Kachin state results. USDP picks up one seat in the lower house and 2 state seats, and another Bamar party (NUP) picks its first seat anywhere (in the upper house). Lisu NDP gets a lower house and a state seat, and  NLD gets 5 state seats, including all 4 ethnic affairs ministers. NLD is one seat short of absolute majority in the state parliament.

Kachin State
AH: NLD 10, NUP 1, Ind. 1
PH: NLD 12, USDP 3, Lisu NDP 2, Kachin SDP 1
State: NLD 22, USDP 7, Kachin State DP 3, Lisu NDP 2, UDP of Kachin State 1, SNLD 1, undeclared 4
Ethnic affairs: NLD 4

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Vote recount in Shan state corrects one AH result. USDP loses 1, an ethnic party gains 1.


Shan State
AH: USDP 3, NLD 3, SNLD 3, Ta'arng (Palaung) NP 2,  Pa O National Org. 1,
PH: USDP 15, NLD 13, SNLD 12,Ta'arng (Palaung) NP 3, Pa O Nat. Org. 2, Wa DP 1, Kokang DUP 1, canceled 7
State: USDP 32, SNLD 25, NLD 21, Ta'arng (Palaung) NP 7, Pa O NO 6, Wa DP 2, Wa NUP 1, Kokang DUP 1, Lahu NDP 1, canceled 14
Ethnic Affairs: NLD 2, USDP 1, Lisu NDP 1, Lahu NDP 1, Akha NDP 1, Ind 1