2020 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread (user search)
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  2020 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2020 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread  (Read 171401 times)
new_patomic
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« on: October 29, 2018, 06:55:37 PM »
I think the issue is that they don't have Mitt Romney winning by enough.
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new_patomic
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Posts: 1,217
« Reply #1 on: October 30, 2018, 06:04:49 PM »
Quote from: INCUMBENT Cruz Will Win 👁 on October 30, 2018, 06:01:16 PM
Hmm, well the PA-11 poll only has a sample size of 311.

That is super-small and VERY noisy. So it is most likely a substantial outlier.
*Bubble bopping*
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new_patomic
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Posts: 1,217
« Reply #2 on: October 31, 2018, 03:59:48 PM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on October 31, 2018, 03:35:14 PM
PA-16 (Susquehanna):

Ron DiNicola (D) 51%
Mike Kelly (R) 47%

Source

The sample +4 Republican by registration (+5 Republican ID).
Trump's approval is -3 here.

Versus +14 in the Siena poll from a month ago.
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new_patomic
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« Reply #3 on: November 04, 2018, 03:26:20 PM »
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new_patomic
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« Reply #4 on: November 05, 2018, 06:24:38 AM »
« Edited: November 05, 2018, 06:29:02 AM by new_patomic »
CNN's last poll from October 4-7 was:

Democrats 54%
Republicans 41%

Good for them for not herding, whatever the result really.
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