2004 Democratic Primary

[RhodeRage]

Martin is going to win in 2004, but he'll crash and burn as nothing but an echo of the Cretien legacy (sorry for the spelling of his name, but I never get it right and i've stopped trying).

My predictions is that a dark horse emerges from the new Conservative party and wins 4-5 years down the line when Martin is forced to call an election.  ANy ideas who?

[RhodeRage]

CHRETIEN...got it....

nah, that's not gonna stuck.  The one good thing about AMerican politics is that I can spell the candidate's names easier ;-)

Je ne parl pa!

[RhodeRage]

The NDP never have been anything but a vote splitter.  It is possible that they could take away some federal support for the liberals across the country and help the Conservatives down the road by damaging the liberals (for example, in interior Toronto).

However, I still think that Canadians will soon get tired of the Liberals and move to the Conservatives (as much as I'd hate to admit it).  They won't care how right winged Martin is, but rather just turn for a fresh face.  Martin will be the death of the liberal party, mark my words.

[RhodeRage]

That's certainly true of Ontario.
But in Saskatchwan the NDP think that the Liberals are the vote splitters(!)

As a native of Ontario, I can't help but reiterate the importance of Ontario in winning the federal elections.  No offense to the West, but all the liberals need to do is keep Ontario strong and all the NDP need to do is to split the vote in Ontario.  Nothing else matters...sorry if I'm sounding contemptuous to the rest of the country, but it's a sort of dry realism that I've developed over the years.

[RhodeRage]

Fair enough.  Personally, I wish things were a little more mixed up here, but we can't have it all.  

ru from Canada, or just an observer?  

[RhodeRage]

Wow!  Realpolitic has my total respect as an international observer.  Anyone who can take interest in THAT much politics is good in my books