Will Gary Johnson win a county/borough? (user search)
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  Will Gary Johnson win a county/borough? (search mode)
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Question: How many counties/boroughs will he win?
#1
0
#2
1
#3
2-5
#4
6-10
#5
more than 10
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Author Topic: Will Gary Johnson win a county/borough?  (Read 2227 times)
On Fleek
on fleek
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« on: October 20, 2016, 01:34:19 PM »

In the next presidential election three candidates are likely to win at least one county or Alaskan borough, respectively, which hasn't happened since 1996.
But will Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson also be able to conquer one or more counties?
If not, which will be his best county? If he wins one, which will it be, respectively?

Btw, which election marked the last time that more than three candidates won a county?
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On Fleek
on fleek
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Posts: 105
« Reply #1 on: October 20, 2016, 10:03:04 PM »

Will he come in second place in any counties?  How many counties did Perot come in second place in in 1996?

According to the statistics site: 2

https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/stats.php?year=1996&f=1&off=0&elect=0
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On Fleek
on fleek
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« Reply #2 on: October 20, 2016, 10:18:16 PM »
« Edited: October 20, 2016, 10:23:53 PM by on fleek »

Will he come in second place in any counties?  How many counties did Perot come in second place in in 1996?

I checked Montana, Nevada, Idaho, Noth Dakota, Minnesota, and Maine. Perot didn't get second in any counties there. He was close in a few though.

According to the statistic sites, Perot's best five counties were:

Mineral, MT   23.72%
Grant, ND   21.55%
Shoshone, ID   21.55%
Sanders, MT   21.24%
Billings, ND   21.10%


Could some paying member check Utah?
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On Fleek
on fleek
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Posts: 105
« Reply #3 on: October 20, 2016, 11:40:57 PM »

I've just checked the gerenal election results on the SOS's website:

https://elections.utah.gov/Media/Default/Documents/Election_Results/General/1996Gen.pdf

Perot came third in each county.
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On Fleek
on fleek
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Posts: 105
« Reply #4 on: October 21, 2016, 12:18:09 AM »
« Edited: October 21, 2016, 12:32:36 AM by on fleek »

You can see the results in graph form under Election Data and Statistics for each state in each presidential election. It will list it for Dems, Reps, major third parties, and Other. That's what I was using to see if he finished second anywhere. The stats page that was posted didn't help either (in this case). Perot narrowly finished third in several of his best counties. A lot of the best counties for Dole were the worst for Clinton and there wasn't enough left for Perot to sneak in those.

Ah, that data is for free? thanks for this information!
Hence I'm going to look up Texas, and...

Bull's eye!

Loving County, Texas: Dole 48 votes - Perot 15 votes - Clinton 14 votes

But that the only county in TX where Perot came second. Sad
There has to be a further county somewhere else...

And Bull's eye the second!

Arthur County, Nebraska: Dole 187 votes - Perot 46 votes - Clinton 25 votes

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On Fleek
on fleek
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Posts: 105
« Reply #5 on: October 21, 2016, 01:00:27 AM »

I thought that he could win 2 or 3 boroughs in Alaska, but i totally disregarded those tiny Texan counties around the New Mexico border. It is possible that he might win some of them (such as Loving County). Remember, those counties voted heavily in favor of Cruz!
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