Twists and Turns- a 2012 Timeline

[America Needs R'hllor]

October 18th, 2011

Leaks: Cabinet Meetings tenser than ever; Sec. Lieberman, Clark throw barbs at each other



The simmering tensions and rivalry between the Clark and Lieberman campaigns affect cabinet meetings, accodrding to an anonymous source in the Clinton administration. The Secretary of State and the Secretary of Defence keep throwing barbs at each other and disagree on everything, which, according to the source, has a negative effect on decision-making. Another source claimed that "President Clinton is extremely displeased".

October 19th, 2011

Sec. Lieberman answers reports: "Anonymous source can only be Vice President Bayh"



During a campaign event in New Hampshire, Secretary of Defence Joe Lieberman claimed that fellow Democratic contender Evan Bayh was responsible for the leaks yesterday about the cabinet meetings. He called Bayh "an opportunist who's trying to derail fellow candidates by the merits of his position," and added that "Clark is the one responsible for any tensions in cabinet meetings."
Vice President Bayh's campaign refused to comment, while Secretary Clark's campaign spokesman said that "it's sad to see Secretary Lieberman stooping so low."

October 23rd, 2011

Jeb Bush: Democratic party full of plotting and in-fighting, Republicans must unite



Appearing before a large crowd in Iowa, Republican fruntrunner Jeb Bush critisized the recent clashes between Democratic Presidential candidates, saying that "the Democratic Party today, home to a failed President, is full of plotting and in-fighting." Using the message to rally Republicans around him, he said that "we must be different- the Republican Party must unite, and I am the only candidate who can unite it."

October 27th, 2011

President Clinton: "Cabinet Meetings going well, Lieberman and Clark great Secretaries"



In a press conference, President Hillary Clinton claimed that the reports about tensions within her cabinet were "exaggerated". She also said that "I fully trust Secretaries Lieberman and Clark, who are performing their jobs admireably."
Asked whether she will endorse any of the Democratic candidates, President Clinton said that she will not make an endorsement "at this time."

October 29th, 2011

Ahead of gubernatorial elections, Bobby Jindal heads to Louisiana to campaign



Louisiana Governor Bobby Jindal, who is simultaneously seeking re-election as Governor and the nomination of the Republican Party for President, returned to his home state to campaign ahead of the November 8th elections. In a campaign event, he said that "I'm running again because I want to make sure Louisiana will continue to prosper, and wish to continue helping it prosper even if I am not elected President." He also claimed that attempts to de-legitimize his campaigns for President and Governor are "undemocratic and discriminatory against Louisians Governors, who always face elections at these dates."
Democratic challanger Caroline Fayard, who has been gaining steam, said that "Jindal is an opportunist who only uses Louisiana as a springboard." She added that "Louisiana needs a Governor who will devote all his time to it, and not to Iowa and New Hampshire."
The Louisiana Gubernatorial elections, to be held in November 8th along with the hotle contested Kentucky Gubernatorial elections, will be the second elections this year after Democrat Earl Ray Tomblin narrowly defeated Republican Bill Maloney in the West Virginia special elections for Governor, held in October 4th.

[America Needs R'hllor]

November 7th, 2011

Final polls before Louisiana, Kentucky gubernatorial elections: incumbents could be in trouble



Tomorrow, November 8th 2011, will be held three elections for the governors of three states- Louisiana, Kentucky and Mississippi. While in Mississippi Republican Phile Bryant is almost assured an easy victory against Democratic Mayor Johnny DuPree, the situation in the other two races seems to be a bit different.

In Kentucky, Governor Steve Beshear is considered very popular, with an approval rating close to 50%. However, he's weighed down by the extreme unpopularity of President Hillary Clinton in the Bluegrass State, and his Republican challenger, State Senator David L. Williams, is trying to make the race about her. Governor Beshear, who's attempting to distance himself from the President, is considered favourite for reelection, but his campaign is still not completely confident.

Meanwhile, in Louisiana, Governor and Presidential Candidate Bobby Jindal, a popular governor who was considered a shoe-in for reelection, has been facing a surprisingly tough campaign, his run for President attracting challengers. His main challenger, Democrat Caroline Fayard, has been gaining steam, but the real worry for the Jindal Campaign is Republican Buddy Roemer. The former one-term Governor of Louisiana, seeing an opening, decided to make a political comeback and run against Jindal, and though he was not taken seriously at first, he did manage to gain a substantial support that could endanger Jindal's chances of winning without a runoff.



Let's look at the final polling averages before each of the gubernatorial elections:

Mississippi Governor- Bryant (R) vs DuPree (D)

Phil Bryant- 58%
Johnny DuPree- 36%
Undecided- 6%

Kentucky Governor- Beshear (D) vs Williams (R) vs Galbraith (I)

Steve Beshear- 46%
David Williams- 41%
Gatewood Galbraith- 8%
Undecided- 5%

Louisiana Governor- Jindal (R) vs Roemer (R) vs Fayard (D) vs Georges (I)

Bobby Jindal- 53%
Caroline Fayard- 22%
Buddy Roemer- 12%
John Georges- 6%
Undecided- 7%

Author's note: I noticed that the Louisiana election was held in October 22nd and not November 8th, but for the sake of the timeline, it will be held along with the other race.

[America Needs R'hllor]

November 8th, 2011

Anderson Cooper: Welcome back to CNN's coverage of the 2011 election night! Today, we will be watching three key race for the governorship of three states: Mississippi, Louisiana and Kentucky. For those just tuning in, the polls in the eastern half of Kentucky are about to close, and we will be able to get some clue about the results- will Governor Steve Beshear win re-election as expected, or will there be an upset? We will see soon. For a key race alert, let's go to Wolf Blitzer.



Wolf Blitzer: Indeed, Anderson. At poll closing time, we can say that the race for Kentucky Governor is too early to call. Let's look at the early results coming in:

Kentucky- Governor
5% reporting
David Williams- 47%
Steve Beshear- 43%
Gatewood Galbraith- 10%


Blitzer: The hour is 7 pm Eastern Time, and the polls in the western half of Kentucky have just closed. We are still unable to call the race in this hour, but the results so far seem to indicate an unsurprising race, especially with many areas more favourable to the incumbent Governor just beginning to report:

Kentucky- Governor
36% reporting
Steve Beshear- 46%
David Williams- 43%
Gatewood Galbraith- 11%


Cooper: Welcome back. The hour is 8 pm eastern, and the polls in the State of Mississippi have just closed. At this time, CNN has two major projections to make. For more on this, let's go to Wolf Blitzer.



Kentucky Governor: Steve Beshear re-elected



Wolf Blitzer: Indeed, we can confirm that Steve Beshear was re-elected as Governor of Kentucky. This is despite fears that President Clinton's unpopularity in the state could drag him down.

Kentucky- Governor
56% reporting
Steve Beshear- 50% ✔
David Williams- 41%
Gatewood Galbraith- 9%

Mississippi Governor: Phil Bryant elected



Blitzer: Meanwhile, Phil Bryant will comfortably be elected Governor of Mississippi.

Mississippi- Governor
1% reporting
Phil Bryant- 68% ✔
Johnny DuPree- 32%


Blitzer: It's 9 pm eastern, and the polls in Louisians have closed. In what must be a disappointment for the Jindal campaign, we are unable to call this race at poll closing time.

Louisiana- Governor
1% reporting
Bobby Jindal- 54%
Buddy Roemer- 19%
Caroline Fayard- 16%
John Georges- 11%


Blitzer: This is going to be a major setback for Bobby Jindal's Presidential ambitions. Three hours after the polls closed in Louisiana, we can project that the Louisiana Gubernatorial Race will go to a runoff in December 6th, and that the incumbent governor, Bobby Jindal, will take part in them. We are still unable to project who will be his rival in the runoff, this looks like a close race for the second place between attorney Caroline Fayard and Former Governor Buddy Roemer.

Louisiana- Governor
92% reporting
Bobby Jindal- 48% ✔
Caroline Fayard- 22%
Buddy Roemer- 22%
John Georges- 8%

[America Needs R'hllor]

November 9th, 2011 (morning)

Jindal campaign reeling from blow in the Louisiana gubernatorial elections



On the same day of an important Republican Presidential debate, the popular Louisiana Governor and Presidential candidate, was denied yesterday an easy reelection after scrutiny of his two simultaneous campaigns, dealing a major blow to his presidential prospects. Despite speculations that he will withdraw from one of the campaigns to focus on the other, the Jindal campaign is mum about the subject.
He will now have to compete in the November 29th runoff. While it is still unknown who will compete against him, with Democrat Caroline Fayard and Republican Buddy Roemer locked in an extremely tight battle and a recount expected, sources within the Jindal campaign were nervous at the prospect of a Roemer vs Jindal battle, citing that a Democrat will have a much harder time to win in Louisiana.

November 9th, 2011 (evening)

Perry in Republican Presidential Debate: "oops"



The fifth Republican debate, in Auburn Hillis, Michigan, was fairly eventful- it had a clash between Michelle Bachmannand Jeb Bush, in which she described him as a "low energy candidate without any message", it had a brush between Jon Huntsman and Dan Quayle about the meaning of being a conservative, and Bobby Jindal's gubernatorial loss was looming over all, with the other candidates jumping on the chance, Ron Paul even calling him "an ambitious opportunist". But none of these were well-remembered, because one moment captured all of the attention and after-debate coverage: Rick Perry's major gaffe.
In an embarrassment later described as "Perry's oops moment", the Texas governor drew a blank on the third department he wished to abolish. After saying that he would abolish three, naming Commerce and Education, he did not manage to name a third one and said "I can't, the third... Sorry. Oops." This comes after a recent string of bad speeches, one of which he was speculated by some to give while drunk.

November 12th, 2011



Governor Rick Perry's "oops moment" is refusing the leave the news, causing immense damage to his campaign. I has become a favorite subject of Late Night jokes, SNL sketches and internet memes, making Perry's candidacy ridiculous in the eyes of many voters. According to the polls, supporters are fleeing him, while donors are doing the same. Sources close to the Texas Governor said that he will continue running for the Republican nomination, but this moment might've been the end for him.

November 13th, 2011

Buddy Roemer wins recount, will advance to the runoff



Major upset in the Louisiana Gubernatorial elections: After Caroline Fayard initially won the second place, positioning herself to combat Governor Jindal in the runoff, a recount gave the advantage to former Governor Buddy Roemer. Fayard conceded, but did not yet make any endorsement.

Louisiana- Governor
100% reporting
Bobby Jindal- 48.5% ✔
Buddy Roemer- 21.82% ✔
Caroline Fayard- 21.80%
John Georges- 8.06%

November 18th, 2011

Democratic Debate sharpens the Landrieu, Warner, competition for southern voters



The Democratic candidates for President gathered in Atlanta, Georgia for their fifth debate, and it was a fairly eventful one. While Bernie Sanders attacked Evan Bayh for his centrist tedencies and Russ Feingold Clashed with Joe Lieberman on the Israeli-Palestinian conflict (Lieberman calling former Senator Feingold 'a person who seems ready to side with the Palestinians over the only democracy in the Middle East, a country that is so crucial for the Jewish people's continuity'), the ones who seemed to recieve the biggest attention when the debate was covered were Mary Landrieu and Mark Warner.
Landrieu had her best debate performance until that point, without a doubt- polls indicated that she came second, after Warner, in polls asking who won the debate. She had a few of the most memorable line in the debate, appealing to southern democrats, women and independents. When asked whether she saw women's issues as important, she replied that "I am the only woman in this contest, which I think is definitely a problem. If we want to continue the progress of President Clinton, who broke that highest glass ceiling, we must show that she was not a one-off event, and that the Democratic party is a champion for women." Later, asked how she would bring in new voters, she said "I understand the concerns of people in the south, and I really think they should be addressed. It's time to bring the Democrats back to competitiveness in the south, and take the party away from the coastal elite!"
Meanwhile, Warner appealed to southerners too, saying that "The South of the United States, where we are today, needs an economic uplifting. The Republicans can't do it. We can- but only if we elect someone who has the experience and the understanding necessary to solve these problems. I am the only one on this stage who has a unique combination of both."

[America Needs R'hllor]

Meanwhile, Warner appealed to southerners too, saying that "

RIP Warner.

LOL, sorry, will edit that in. Oops

[America Needs R'hllor]

November 21st, 2011

Polling update:

Republican Primaries- National

Jeb Bush- 23%  (+4)
Dan Quayle- 16%  (+2)
Bobby Jindal- 11%  (-3)
Ron Paul- 10%  (+1)
Michelle Bachmann- 7%  (+2)
Rick Perry- 7%  (-5)
Jon Huntsman- 7%  (+-0)
Rick Santorum- 6%  (-1)
Undecided- 13%  (+3)

Republican Primaries- Iowa

Ron Paul- 22%  (-1)
Jeb Bush- 20%  (+2)
Michelle Bachmann- 11%  (+2)
Bobby Jindal- 11%  (-2)
Dan Quayle- 10%  (+1)
Rick Santorum- 9%  (+-0)
Rick Perry- 8%  (-3)
Jon Huntsman- 2%  (+-0)
Undecided- 7%  (-1)

Republican Primaries- New Hampshire

Jeb Bush- 20%  (+3)
Ron Paul- 18%  (+2)
Jon Huntsman- 13%  (+2)
Dan Quayle- 10%  (+2)
Bobby Jindal- 6%  (-1)
Rick Perry- 5%  (-6)
Michelle Bachmann- 4%  (+-0)
Rick Santorum- 3%  (+1)
Undecided- 21%  (+-0)


Democratic Primaries- National

Evan Bayh- 18%  (+1)
Mark Warner- 17%  (+2)
Howard Dean- 14%  (-1)
Russ Feingold- 13%  (+1)
Wesley Clark- 10%  (-3)
Bernie Sanders- 10%  (+-0)
Joe Lieberman- 6%  (-1)
Mary Landrieu- 6%  (+2)
Undecided- 6%  (-1)

Democratic Caucuses- Iowa

Evan Bayh- 18%  (+1)
Russ Feingold- 18%  (+-0)
Howard Dean- 14%  (+1)
Bernie Sanders- 13%  (+-0)
Mark Warner- 11%  (+-0)
Wesley Clark- 11%  (-2)
Mary Landrieu- 4%  (+1)
Joe Lieberman- 2%  (-1)
Undecided- 9%  (-2)

Democratic Primaries- New Hampshire
Bernie Sanders- 19%  (+2)
Howard Dean- 19%  (+3)
Evan Bayh- 15%  (+-0)
Russ Feingold- 13%  (+-0)
Joe Lieberman- 11%  (-3)
Mark Warner- 8%  (+-0)
Wesley Clark- 5%  (-1)
Mary Landerieu- 3%  (+1)
Undecided- 7%  (-2)

[America Needs R'hllor]

November 23rd, 2011

BREAKING: Caroline Fayard endorses Buddy Roemer for Governor



The Louisiana Gubernatorial runoff, scheduled to be held in November 29th, is heating up- Jindal, in what must be harmful to his Presidential campaign, is campaigning all over the state, while Roemer is dedicating all his time to the campaign. While most Republican officials are supporting Jindal, Democrats and Independents are angry at Jindal for his simultanious Presidential and Gubernatorial campaigns, and are looking for an alternative. Roemer, a former Governor who runs on a 'Louisiana first' platform, seems to be just the alternative, as evident by his recent endorsements by former Independent Gubernatorial candidate, John Georges, and the recent endorsement by former Democratic candidate Caroline Fayard, coming just one day before the debate scheduled despite the Jindal campaign's opposition.

Louisiana Governor- Bobby Jindal (R) vs Buddy Roemer (R)

Bobby Jindal- 57%
Buddy Roemer- 43%

November 24th, 2011

Louisiana Gubernatorial Debate pits Governor Jindal against insurgent Buddy Roemer



While both candidates for Louisiana Governor, incumbent Jindal and insurgent Buddy Roemer, performed decently in the New Orleans debate, with Bobby Jindal appearing more polished and competent, Buddy Roemer did achieve one major victory- he presented his arguments before the people of Louisiana, and effectively showed himself as a true alternative. This is expected to elevate him in the polls.
A major moment in the debate were when Jindal called his rival "a voice of the past, trying to bounce back into relevancy without any understanding of the future", and Roemer responded by accusing Jindal that he's "not one to speak of the future, in which the Governor does not envision himself as Governor of Louisiana, but as Commander-in-Chief, ridiculing the post of Governor and making it into a joke."

November 28th, 2011

Landrieu on Louisiana Gubernatorial race: Jindal is not right for the state or the country



Louisiana Senator and Democratic Presidential candidate Mary Landrieu has commented in an interview on the surprisingly competitive Louisiana Gubernatorial race, saying that she "will vote for former Governor Roemer in a day, despite obvious reservations." Landrieu added that she is disappointed Caroline Fayard, "a wonderful candidate and friend", did not advance to the runoff, but that "Governor Jindal's rhetoric on the campaign trail and his opportunistic and cynical runs for two offices at the same time prove he is not right for the state or the country."

Louisiana Governor- Bobby Jindal (R) vs Buddy Roemer (R)

Bobby Jindal- 51%
Buddy Roemer- 49%

November 29th, 2011



Wolf Blitzer: Hello, and welcome to CNN's coverage of the Louisiana Gubernatorial election runoff. I am Wolf Blitzer, and I will report the results tonight as they come in. This race has been made competitive by incumbent Governor Bobby Jindal's run for President, which caused opposition to arise against his percieved opportunism in running for two offices. The popular Governor has been locked in a tough fight with former Governor Buddy Roemer, in a race which was very much nationalized because of Jindal's candidace. It's a make or break for Jindal's political career- if he wins, though the damage to his presidential campaign was already done, his political career will be secured, but if he loses, he will certainly be struck a fatal blow in the presidential race, too. It's 9 pm, which means the Lousiana polls have closed and we have some first results:

Louisiana Governor
1% reporting
Buddy Roemer- 56%
Bobby Jindal- 44%


10 pm

Wolf Blitzer: Welcome back to our coverage of the Lousiaian elections for Governor. We still cannot call the race, but after a great beginning for former Governor Roemer, we're seeing Jindal starting to gain serious ground.

Louisiana Governor
31% reporting
Buddy Roemer- 51%
Bobby Jindal- 49%


11 pm

Wolf Blitzer: The Louisiana Gubernatorial race is still close to call, but we can report that Governor Jindal is now at the lead. If this trend continues, it might turn out to be a good night for him.

Louisiana Governor
44% reporting
Bobby Jindal- 50.4%
Buddy Roemer- 49.6%


12 pm



Wolf Blitzer: CNN can now make a major projection:

Louisiana Governr: Bobby Jindal re-elected



Louisiana Governor
61% reporting
Bobby Jindal- 53% ✔
Buddy Roemer- 47%


Wolf Blitzer: Governor Bobby Jindal will win reelection! This comes after a surprisigly tough and wounding campaign for him, but now it looks like he might be able to continue his Presidential run, though it will not be easy.

November 30th, 2011

Victorious Governor Jindal addresses supporters in Louisiana

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Louisiana Governor
100% reporting
Bobby Jindal- 54.8% ✔
Buddy Roemer- 45.2%

[America Needs R'hllor]

December 1st, 2011

Source in the cabinet: President Clinton told Secretary Lieberman, arguing with Secretary Clark, to 'shut up and stop disrupting the meeting or get out'



The Clark vs Lieberman fiasco continues: confirming previous reports about tension between the two Secretaries which harm cabinet meetings, a source in the Clinton administration said that the two do not budge and, despite attempts by figures such as Agriculture Secretary Tom Vilsack and Vice President Evan Bayh to reach reconcilation between them, continue throwing barbs and even undermining each other. This has caused an unsustainable condition, according to some in the administration, one even reporting an incident when President Hillary Clinton grew so frustrated with the two that she had to shut Lieberman down, telling him to 'shut up and stop disrupting the meeting or get out'.
Secretary Clark said, in a campaign event in Michigan, that 'Joe Lieberman's continued attacks against me are disappointing, but I promise you, I will NEVER let such a petty business overshadow my duty, just like I never did in my time as general.' Meanwhile, the Lieberman campaign denied the reports and said that 'any tensions between the two are caused by Secretary Clark, Secretary Lieberman and President Clinton have a great working relationship.'

December 3rd, 2011

Mitt Romney on the state of the Republican race: I would've easily won



Interviewed to the New York Times, former Presidential candidate Mitt Romney commented on the state of the Republican race for the first time since he withdrew due to his wife's health. He said that he would not make an endorsement 'at this time', but noted that 'look, all I'll say is that I would've easily won this, and I truly wish the Republican party luck and hope the eventual nominee will turn out better than I expect.' This is considered a surprisingly icy comment from the former Massachussetts Governor and frontrunner for the nomination.

December 6th, 2011

Jon Huntsman in New Hampshire: Rick Perry is a joke

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December 8th, 2011

Bobby Jindal, campaigning in South Carolina: I took this risk because I care

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December 9th, 2011

Jeb Bush in The Late Show: ready to seal the deal in tomorrow's debate; time for Republicans to unite

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[America Needs R'hllor]

December 10th, 2011

Sixth Republican Presidential Debate

The sixth, and second-to-last Republican debate before Iowa was held in Des Moines, Iowa, and the closeness of the Primary season was well-feeled in the heated debate.
After rivals Rick Perry and Bobby Jindal tanked in the polls, the first one due to a horrible debate and the second one due to a hard-fought campaign for re-election as Louisiana Governor, frontrunner Jeb Bush started to look stronger and stronger. Polls indicated that the only one close to him was Dan Quayle, and attack ads against Quayle featuring his past gaffes started airing, harming him too. That was the last poll, by CNN, released before the debate:

Republican Primaries- National
Jeb Bush- 31%
Dan Quayle- 15%
Bobby Jindal- 10%
Ron Paul- 10%
Michelle Bachmann- 6%
Jon Huntsman- 6%
Rick Perry- 5%
Rick Santorum- 5%
Undecided- 12%

Polls in Iowa started showing Bush leading Paul, too, for example, this was the Des Moines Register poll before the debate:

Republican Primaries- Iowa
Jeb Bush- 24%
Ron Paul- 20%
Dan Quayle- 14%
Michelle Bachmann- 10%
Bobby Jindal- 9%
Rick Santorum- 7%
Rick Perry- 6%
Jon Huntsman- 2%
Undecided- 8%

So, it was understandable that Jeb Bush's rivals would be worried. It was clear that if he could cruise to the nomination if not stopped soon. And so, Jeb Bush came under heavy fire.

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Jeb Bush, standing in the center of the stage because of his frontrunner status, was the center of the discussion, too, constantly having to deflect and fight off attacks. Sometimes he succeeded in doing it, but sometimes he did not. Some pundits even claimed later that he 'buckled under pressure', and clearly, he lost the debate, with his relative lack of charisma and enthusiasm clearly showing.
In one instance, for example, Bush tried to critisize Ron Paul's foreign policy, but the Texas Representative shot right back: "How can you speak of foreign policy, when your brother is the one who dragged us into a bloody, unnecessary war, which you supported? How can you speak of it when your own foreign policy is identical to his, a foreign policy of state-building and war?" In another, he got into a verbal battle with Rick Santorum and Dan Quayle from the other about his moderate immigration policy, where they attacked him from two sides, making him come out as a clear loser of the debate.

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During the debate, Dan Quayle didn't really manage to rise up as much as his campaign has hoped. He came off as a bit boring and uncharismatic, causing some to speculate that he lost some of his youth's energy, and made a few mistakes that brought back memories of the late 80s and early 90s. He just didn't manage to present enough of an alternative to Jeb Bush, and entered some mutually harmful personal arguments with him.

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Bobby Jindal's star shone bright during the debate. Coming off a tough few weeks culminating with a victory for him, the Louisiana Governor managed to bring his triumph into public attention and appeared charismatic and re-energized. Additionally, he stayed above the fray, critisizing Quayle and Bush over 'bringing back petty rivalries from the 90s that the American people want to stay there.'

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Ron Paul was always good in debates, and this time was no different. He fiercely attacked his opponent's positions, especially Jeb Bush's, and clearly presented himself as a candidate with views that are very different than those of the rest, for better or worse, some of his responses drawing strong cheers from the audience.

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Despite entering the campaign with great hope of riding the Tea Party wave into victory, Michele Bachmann is struggling to gain in the polls, only recently rising a bit after Perry tanked in support. She tried her normal tricks in the debate, giving fiery and controversial statements with appeal to religious right voters, but it just didn't seem to work- Paul beat her in controversial, Jindal in fiery, and Santorum in appeal to the religious right.

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After Rick Perry's disastrous debate, the next one seemed like the only chance for a recovery. Perry did do much better than in the previous debate, but that is an extremely low bar- he did not manage to properly deflect attacks on his performance and was clearly too careful to make statements that would draw attention to him, remaining pretty invisible during much of the debate.

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Governor Huntsman, doing surprisingly well during the campaign for a moderate, bipartisan candidate during partisan times, managed to do very well in the debate- he articulated his positions well, had sharp responses against attacks, and took a lot of attention, in part because he was used as a target for attacks many times. This was certainly one of his best debates.

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Basically taking a full mantle as the religious right's candidate, Rick Santorum didn't have a bad debate, but it wasn't particualarly good either. The former Senator boasted of his ground operation in Iowa and promised to win there, but it seems unrealistic for him at this point.

Post-debate poll: Who Won?
Bobby Jindal- 31%
Jon Huntsman- 24%
Ron Paul- 20%
Rick Santorum- 7%
Rick Perry- 6%
Michele Bachmann- 5%
Dan Quayle- 5%
Jeb Bush- 2%

[America Needs R'hllor]

December 11th, 2011

Polling update: Post-Debate

Republican Primaries- National

Jeb Bush- 22%  (-1)
Bobby Jindal- 15%  (+4)
Dan Quayle- 13%  (-3)
Ron Paul- 10%  (+-0)
Rick Perry- 8%  (+1)
Jon Huntsman- 8%  (+1)
Michelle Bachmann- 6%  (-1)
Rick Santorum- 6%  (+-0)
Undecided- 12%  (-1)

Republican Primaries- Iowa

Ron Paul- 21%  (-1)
Jeb Bush- 18%  (-2)
Bobby Jindal- 14%  (+3)
Dan Quayle- 12%  (+2)
Rick Santorum- 10%  (+1)
Michelle Bachmann- 9%  (-2)
Rick Perry- 7%  (-1)
Jon Huntsman- 2%  (+-0)
Undecided- 7%  (+-0)

Republican Primaries- New Hampshire

Jeb Bush- 18%  (-2)
Ron Paul- 18%  (+-0)
Jon Huntsman- 15%  (+2)
Bobby Jindal- 9%  (+3)
Dan Quayle- 8%  (-2)
Rick Perry- 5%  (+-0)
Michelle Bachmann- 4%  (+-0)
Rick Santorum- 3%  (+-0)
Undecided- 20%  (-1)

December 12th, 2011

Former Senator Chris Dodd finally endorses Lieberman: a great public servant, Connecticut is proud of him

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December 13th, 2011

Bernie Sanders in Michigan: Healthcare for all, now!

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December 14th, 2011

Evan Bayh campaigns in Las Vegas, turns to the left

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[America Needs R'hllor]

December 15th, 2011

Sixth Democratic Debate

Like the Republican debate before it, the Democratic debate held in Sioux City, Iowa was the second-to-last before the people of Iowa vote in their caucuses.
With Vice President Bayh's frontrunner status slowly eroding, some polls showing him statistically tied with Senator Warner or Former Governor Dean, this was a high-stakes debate. Everyone had to shine as bright as they could, because with such a big pack polling so close, everyone had a chance if they performed well enough.

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Vice President Bayh, leading the Democratic field ever since he entered it, is on the brink of becoming just another candidate. His polling numbers are slowly decreasing, and he's attacked from all sides. He needed a great debate performance for a resurgence, and while he did pretty well, defelecting attacks and projecting himself as the most experience and stable candidate on the stage, he did not get this decisive performance he wanted to get.

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Mark Warner is charismatic and charming, and it shows. His polling numbers have been steadily improving, good debate after good debate, and this one was not bad either- and yet, just like Vice President Bayh, he did not manage to achieve a decisive performance.

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Returning eight years after his loss in 2004, Howard Dean was hoping to recapture his former status as the candidate of the grassroots. Unfourtunately for him, that status was stolen this time by Russ Feingold and Bernie Sanders, but after his successful tenure in the DNC, Dean is still seen as a very strong candidate, and is managing to bring into his column many progressives and liberals. Despite performing weakly in the first Democratic debate, the next ones were good for him, and this time he managed to do even better, appearing energetic and charismatic, and managing to steal a lot of the spotlight.

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Wesley Clark entered as a very promising candidate, and the strongest contender against the Vice President. He's a former five-star General, and now a Secratary of State- his foreign policy credentials are the best one could hope for. But once Secretary of Defence Joe Lieberman entered, the long-time tensions between them exploded, and got stronger and stronger as the campaign season advanced. This feud is clearly seeping into the debates. Their feuds and the barbs they throw at each other are harming their debate performances, and this time was no different.

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Secretary Lieberman had, unlike in 2004, a chance to win. He was a Secretary of Defence, polling in double digits, and truly had a conceivable path. But then his feud with Secretary Clark exploded, and they started battling in debates, and then his numbers tanked. Now, his team was hoping for a strong debate to revive his candidacy, but with another fight with Clark and suffering attacks from Feingold and Sanders, the Lieberman campaign seems to have little chance to win, once again.

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Russ Feingold, a longtime Senator who lost re-election in 2010, was thought to be politically dead, but then his campaign for the Democratic nomination soared. He appealed to many on the left, and many independents as well, but recently had to compete with insurgent Senator Bernie Sanders for these voters. That's why he needed a good debate performance, and instead he got a brilliant performance. He avoided clashes with Sanders and instead focused on presenting his foreign and domestic policy experience and positions, drawing a sharp line between himself and the other candidates, and attacked their own positions with great precision.

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The independent Senator from Vermont, self-proclaimed Democratic Socialist, has been getting an extremely surprising amount of support. At first no one thought he would be able to become relevant, but now he's sometimes polling in double digits and has a large grassroots following. Much of this is thanks to the debates, that allowed him to become more known to the Democratic voters and to present his progressive vision. This debate, however, was not as good for him- his progressive voice was sometimes drowned by that of Russ Feingold, and though he did manage to get in a few good lines, he clearly didn't manage to become the center of the discussion like before.

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It's not easy to be a red-state Democrat in a Democratic Primary, and Mary Landrieu keeps having to defend herself from attacks on her state's policy or her own. But lately, she seems to be doing much better in debates and on the trail than before, raising hopes that she can still become a relevant candidate. This time, while she did not do as great as in the fifth debate, she still managed to present herself as a strong and capable candidate.

Post-Debate Poll: Who Won?
Russ Feingold- 28%
Howard Dean- 26%
Mark Warner- 13%
Evan Bayh- 11%
Bernie Sanders- 11%
Mary Landrieu- 8%
Wesley Clark- 2%
Joe Lieberman- 1%

[America Needs R'hllor]

December 16th, 2011

Polling update: post-Democratic debate

Democratic Primaries- National
Evan Bayh- 19%  (+1)
Howard Dean- 16%  (+2)
Mark Warner- 16%  (-1)
Russ Feingold- 15%  (+2)
Wesley Clark- 9%  (-1)
Bernie Sanders- 9%  (-1)
Mary Landrieu- 6%  (+-0)
Joe Lieberman- 5%  (-1)
Undecided- 5%  (-1)

Democratic Caucuses- Iowa
Russ Feingold- 20%  (+2)
Evan Bayh- 18%  (+-0)
Howard Dean- 15%  (+1)
Bernie Sanders- 14%  (+1)
Wesley Clark- 10%  (-1)
Mark Warner- 10%  (-1)
Mary Landrieu- 3%  (-1)
Joe Lieberman- 2%  (+-0)
Undecided- 8%  (-1)

Democratic Primaries- New Hampshire
Howard Dean- 21%  (+2)
Bernie Sanders- 19%  (+-0)
Evan Bayh- 15%  (+-0)
Russ Feingold- 14%  (+1)
Joe Lieberman- 10%  (-1)
Mark Warner- 8%  (+-0)
Wesley Clark- 4%  (-1)
Mary Landerieu- 3%  (+-0)
Undecided- 6%  (-1)

December 19th, 2011

Last stretch of campaigning before Iowa- make or break for many candidates



As the Iowa caucuses get closer, the candidates sweep all over the state, trying to get every last voter they're capable of convincing to their side. Some candidates are completely dependant on a good showing in Iowa- Michele Bachmann, Ron Paul and Rick Santorum, on the Republican side, will probably never get another chance at raising their numbers, while Bobby Jindal will have to do well there if he wants to seriously challenge Jeb Bush. Vice President Dan Quayle, his polling numbers faltering, is also dependant on a good Iowa showing, and has been pouring almost all his resources there. With so many candidates competing there, the Iowa Republican caucuses are sure to clear a lot of the field.

On the Democratic side, meanwhile, Wisconsin native Russ Feingold has to do well in Iowa, and probably win, if he wants to rise in the polls. A disappointment there for him, and a success for Senator Sanders in New Hampshire, might shift the progressive voters towards the Vermont Independent. Secretary of State Wesley Clark is also dependant on Iowa, as his prospects in states after it are dim and he needs a good showing there to regain momentum Vice President Bayh, also a native of a neighboring state, also sees the state as crucial- with prospects in New Hampshire dim, he needs Iowa to secure his status as frontrunner.

But while some candidates are putting all their might into Iowa, others have been withdrawing resources- Governor Rick Perry, seeing no path there, has skipped instead to Nevada and, mostly, South Carolina, states that he sees as his last chances to regain momentum. Jon Huntsman, meanwhile, completely withdrew from Iowa and will instead focus on New Hampshire. On the Democratic side, Secretary of Defence Joe Lieberman has done the same as Huntsman, his last hope lying in the Granite State, while Senator Mary Landrieu is aggressively targeting South Carolina and other southern states, almost not investing in Iowa.

December 20th, 2011

Hillary Clinton in an unexpected public statement: "Tensions between Clark and Lieberman unsustainable"

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December 22nd, 2011

Former Senator Tom Harkin endorses Vice President Bayh

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[America Needs R'hllor]

December 24th, 2011

Seventh Republican Debate

The last Republican debate before the Iowa Caucuses, held in Ames, Iowa, was fiery and contentious. The candidates got their absolute last chance to present their arguments before Iowa votes.


The Winners
Once again, Ron Paul and Bobby Jindal managed to present themselves well and were the big winners of the debate- both managed to come off as energetic and enthusiastic, devoted to their views, and while Paul managed to get the most cheers, Jindal had an edge on presenting real plans and touting his experience. Both are expected to benefit from the debate, especially in Iowa where their views are popular.


The Neutrals
While both Rick Santorum and Jon Huntsman managed to eloquantly and convincingly present their positions, both of them have positions far from the Republican mainstream, so it's uncertain how many people they actually managed to convince, and post-debate polls reflect that. Meanwhile, Dan Quayle managed to do much better than before and wheeled to the right, especially social right, with his eyes on Iowa voters, but he still did not do well enough to become tonight's star.


The Losers
Michelle Bachmann and Rick Perry, once again, did not manage to do anything that could give them a boost, with the Texas Governor's performance a bit erratic and reminding of his previous debate performances. But the biggest loser was Jeb Bush- he was hammered from all sides, attacked for both social and economic positions percieved as too far to the left, and did not really manage to stand the fire, in one instance stuttering slightly. These attacks, much more ferocious than similar ones on Governor Huntsman, are expected to harm the former Florida Governor in Iowa.

Post-Debate Poll: Who Won?
Bobby Jindal- 35%
Ron Paul- 33%
Jon Huntsman- 11%
Dan Quayle- 9%
Rick Santorum- 8%
Michele Bachmann- 2%
Rick Perry- 1%
Jeb Bush- 1%

December 25th, 2011

The Seventh Democratic Debate

Held one day after the Republican one, the last pre-Iowa Democratic debate saw the candidates fighting for one last chance to convince caucus goers.


The Winners
The Vice President and the Wisconsin Senator were at their best in the seventh debate- they clashed on their different views, but both managed to get out of these clashes stronger than before, Bayh strengthening his bipartisan, hardworking moderate image and Feingold his fiery, and yet pragmatic progressive image. This sharpens the battle between them for dominance in Iowa.


The Neutrals
Both Vermont natives, who performed well in past debates, seemed to have some of their light seeped from them by the strong performances of Feingold and Bayh. Still, they gave a solid enough performance and this debate will not harm them.


The Losers
Mark Warner's constantly solid debates raised the expectations for him, and tonight he disappointed. He did not manage to make any memorable lines, and seemed overshadowed by other competitors despite his charisma. The same could be sade for Senator Landrieu, who returned to her old debates and seemed almost invisible.


The Feuders
But nothing any of the other candidates could do to harm their debate performance could not reach the level reached by Secretary Wesley Clark and Secretary Joe Lieberman, who were the center of the night and not in a good way. It felt like the tension between them finally erupted, and they descended into constant arguments, interruptions, and vicious attacks, seemingly not minding any other candidate other than themselves. Clearly, their feud is much more than a Presidential rivalry, but that is certainly part of it. Their horrible performance contributed to the good performance of Vice President Bayh, who seemed like the sane one among the three members of the Clinton administration, and kept trying to stop their arguments.

Post-Debate Poll: Who Won?
Russ Feingold- 32%
Evan Bayh- 32%
Bernie Sanders- 14%
Howard Dean- 11%
Mark Warner- 7%
Mary Landrieu- 3%
Wesley Clark- 1%
Joe Lieberman- 0%

[America Needs R'hllor]

December 26th, 2011

White House Press Secretary Howard Wolfson: President is 'fed up' with Clark-Lieberman feud

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December 27th, 2011

Last Stretch before Iowa: Santorum sweeps through the state, claims momentum

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December 28th, 2011

BREAKING NEWS: Secretary Clinton to appear tomorrow with Vice President Bayh in Des Moines, Iowa; Secretary of Agriculture Tom Vilsack endorses Bayh

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December 29th, 2011

BREAKING: PRESIDENT CLINTON ENDORSES VICE PRESIDENT BAYH

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This endorsement is huge, probably the biggest in the race so far. President Clinton, despite unpopularity in the general public, is still very popular within the Democratic Party, and her endorsement means a lot to many voters. This certainly puts Evan Bayh back in his position as frontrunner.

January 1st, 2012

Reports: Dean, Warner withdrawing resources from Iowa; Sanders stays

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The race in Iowa is clearly tightening to Bayh vs Feingold: Howard Dean, one of the frontrunners for the Democratic nomination, has withdrawn his campaign from Iowa and will instead focus all of his resources on a New Hampshire win. Mark Warner has done the same for South Carolina. But unlike them, Senator Bernie Sanders decided to stay in the Hawkeye State, hoping for an upset or at least a strong showing to boost his insurgent campaign.

January 2nd, 2012

Russ Feingold campaigns in Iowa, attempting to snatch the lead back from surging Vice President Bayh

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[America Needs R'hllor]

January 2nd, 2012

Polling update: The Last Pre-Iowa Polling Averages

Republican Primaries- National
Jeb Bush- 20%  (-2)
Bobby Jindal- 16%  (+1)
Dan Quayle- 14%  (+1)
Ron Paul- 11%  (+1)
Jon Huntsman- 8%  (+-0)
Rick Perry- 6%  (-2)
Rick Santorum- 6%  (+-0)
Michelle Bachmann- 5%  (-1)
Undecided- 14%  (+2)

Republican Primaries- Iowa
Bobby Jindal- 21%  (+7)
Ron Paul- 20%  (-1)
Rick Santorum- 16%  (+6)
Dan Quayle- 15%  (+3)
Jeb Bush- 12%  (-6)
Michelle Bachmann- 6%  (-3)
Rick Perry- 4%  (-3)
Jon Huntsman- 1%  (-1)
Undecided- 5%  (-2)

Republican Primaries- New Hampshire
Ron Paul- 19%  (+1)
Jeb Bush- 17%  (-1)
Jon Huntsman- 16%  (+1)
Bobby Jindal- 11%  (+2)
Dan Quayle- 7%  (-1)
Rick Santorum- 4%  (+1)
Rick Perry- 4%  (-1)
Michelle Bachmann- 4%  (+-0)
Undecided- 18%  (-2)


Democratic Primaries- National
Evan Bayh- 23%  (+4)
Russ Feingold- 16%  (+1)
Howard Dean- 15%  (-1)
Mark Warner- 14%  (-2)
Bernie Sanders- 9%  (+-0)
Wesley Clark- 7%  (-2)
Mary Landrieu- 6%  (+-0)
Joe Lieberman- 4%  (-1)
Undecided- 6%  (+1)

Democratic Caucuses- Iowa
Evan Bayh- 24%  (+6)
Russ Feingold- 23%  (+3)
Bernie Sanders- 15%  (+1)
Wesley Clark- 12%  (+2)
Howard Dean- 11%  (-4)
Mark Warner- 8%  (-2)
Mary Landrieu- 2%  (-1)
Joe Lieberman- 0%  (-2)
Undecided- 5%  (-3)

Democratic Primaries- New Hampshire
Howard Dean- 23%  (+2)
Bernie Sanders- 21%  (+2)
Evan Bayh- 18%  (+3)
Russ Feingold- 14%  (+-0)
Joe Lieberman- 9%  (-1)
Mark Warner- 6%  (-2)
Wesley Clark- 2%  (-2)
Mary Landerieu- 2%  (-1)
Undecided- 5%  (-1)

So I've finally brought the timeline to Iowa! I hope you enjoyed the buildup and action so far, so before Iowa votes- any feedback, suggestions? Who do you think will win?

[America Needs R'hllor]

January 3rd, 2012



Wolf Blitzer: ...The caucuses have ended in Iowa, and now we can start looking at the first poll closings. Let us take a look at the first results:

Iowa- Republican
0% Reporting
Bobby Jindal- 34%
Ron Paul- 19%
Jeb Bush- 13%
Rick Santorum- 11%
Dan Quayle- 10%
Michele Bachmann- 7%
Rick Perry- 6%
Jon Huntsman- 0%

Jake Tapper: This is still very early, but if these are the results, then Governor Jindal will become an instant frontrunner. He's probably not going to win New Hampshire, but this could propel him to victories in South Carolina, Florida and Super Tuesday.

Iowa- Democratic
0% Reporting
Evan Bayh- 32%
Russ Feingold- 24%
Bernie Sanders- 18%
Wesley Clark- 11%
Howard Dean- 8%
Mark Warner- 5%
Mary Landrieu- 1%
Joe Lieberman- 1%

John King: An early battle between Bayh and Feingold on the Democratic side, with Sanders doing surprisingly well as the first results are coming in. We'll see if Clark can make it closer.

...................

Iowa- Republican
10% Reporting
Bobby Jindal- 26%
Ron Paul- 20%
Rick Santorum- 16%
Dan Quayle- 12%
Jeb Bush- 11%
Michele Bachmann- 8%
Rick Perry- 6%
Jon Huntsman- 1%

Iowa- Democratic
10% Reporting
Evan Bayh- 28%
Russ Feingold- 26%
Bernie Sanders- 16%
Wesley Clark- 12%
Howard Dean- 10%
Mark Warner- 5%
Mary Landrieu- 2%
Joe Lieberman- 1%

Anderson Cooper: ...As the results come in, we're certainly seeing a tightening of the race on both sides. The Jindal landslide sources in his campaign were whispering about looks far less likely now, as it appears like Rick Santorum is taking a large number of voters from him. On the Democratic side, the Bayh-Feingold faceoff looks far more pronounced now.

...................

Iowa- Republican
25% Reporting
Bobby Jindal- 23%
Ron Paul- 21%
Rick Santorum- 18%
Dan Quayle- 13%
Jeb Bush- 13%
Michele Bachmann- 6%
Rick Perry- 5%
Jon Huntsman- 1%

Anderson Cooper: Bobby Jindal is in big trouble. Santorum seems to be doing far better than expected today. Meanwhile, we're getting reports that the Quayle campaign is getting increasingly pessimistic...

Iowa- Democratic
25% Reporting
Evan Bayh- 27%
Russ Feingold- 27%
Bernie Sanders- 17%
Wesley Clark- 11%
Howard Dean- 10%
Mark Warner- 6%
Mary Landrieu- 2%
Joe Lieberman- 0%

Dana Bash: In the Sanders campaign headquarters, the Vermont Senator's supporters are cautiously happy. He did far better than expected today.

...................

Iowa- Republican
50% Reporting
Bobby Jindal- 23%
Ron Paul- 22%
Rick Santorum- 20%
Dan Quayle- 14%
Jeb Bush- 11%
Michele Bachmann- 5%
Rick Perry- 4%
Jon Huntsman- 1%

Iowa- Democratic
50% Reporting
Evan Bayh- 29%
Russ Feingold- 29%
Bernie Sanders- 16%
Wesley Clark- 11%
Howard Dean- 9%
Mark Warner- 5%
Mary Landrieu- 1%
Joe Lieberman- 0%

Wolf Blitzer: about 50% of the vote is counted, and it looks like a three-way battle in the Republican Iowa Caucuses.

Jake Tapper: Yes, and on the Democratic side, it's looking like a very long night, too...

...................

Iowa- Republican
60% Reporting
Bobby Jindal- 22%
Ron Paul- 21%
Rick Santorum- 20%
Dan Quayle- 15%
Jeb Bush- 12%
Michele Bachmann- 5%
Rick Perry- 4%
Jon Huntsman- 1%

Anderson Cooper: Any chance for a Quayle revival?
John King: He's been gaining, but at this point it seems unlikely.

Iowa- Democratic
60% Reporting
Russ Feingold- 30%
Evan Bayh- 29%
Bernie Sanders- 16%
Wesley Clark- 10%
Howard Dean- 9%
Mark Warner- 5%
Mary Landrieu- 1%
Joe Lieberman- 0%

Anderson Cooper: And for the first time tonight, Fomer Senator Feingold takes the lead in Iowa...

...................

Iowa- Republican
75% Reporting
Ron Paul- 21%
Bobby Jindal- 19%
Rick Santorum- 19%
Dan Quayle- 15%
Jeb Bush- 13%
Michele Bachmann- 6%
Rick Perry- 5%
Jon Huntsman- 3%

Iowa- Democratic
75% Reporting
Russ Feingold- 31%
Evan Bayh- 29%
Bernie Sanders- 15%
Wesley Clark- 11%
Howard Dean- 9%
Mark Warner- 4%
Mary Landrieu- 1%
Joe Lieberman- 0%

Anderson Cooper: The race is getting defined. Russ Feingold is starting to gain a lead, and the Bayh campaign is increasingly pessimistic.

...................

Iowa- Republican
85% Reporting
Ron Paul- 21%
Bobby Jindal- 20%
Rick Santorum- 20%
Dan Quayle- 14%
Jeb Bush- 12%
Michele Bachmann- 5%
Rick Perry- 4%
Jon Huntsman- 4%

Dana Bash: With 85% reporting, it's really starting to look bleak for the Jindal campaign...



Anderson Cooper: And now, we in CNN are ready to make a major projection...


Iowa- Democratic
85% Reporting
Russ Feingold- 32% ✔
Evan Bayh- 31%
Bernie Sanders- 15%
Wesley Clark- 10%
Howard Dean- 7%
Mark Warner- 4%
Mary Landrieu- 1%
Joe Lieberman- 0%

Anderson Cooper: Former Senator Russ Feingold of Wisconsin will be winning the Iowa Democratic Caucuses!
Jake Tapper: A big victory for the Feingold campaign, but Sanders, who did better than expected, still has some hope if he wins New Hampshire. Vice President Bayh is in a problematic position...

...................

Wolf Blitzer: Now, this night has been very long, but CNN is finally ready to make a call for the Republican Iowa Caucuses...



Iowa- Republican
90% Reporting
Ron Paul- 21% ✔
Bobby Jindal- 19%
Rick Santorum- 19%
Dan Quayle- 15%
Jeb Bush- 12%
Michele Bachmann- 5%
Rick Perry- 5%
Jon Huntsman- 4%

Anderson Cooper: Ron Paul is the Iowa Caucuses winner! Certainly, at the start of this campaign no one expected this insurgent candidate to win the first-in-the-nation contest.

[America Needs R'hllor]

Iowa Aftermath- GOP

January 3rd, 2012

Former Vice President Dan Quayle drops out in concession speech; makes no endorsement

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Ron Paul in victory speech: "This campaign for liberty in America has just started, and today Iowa has granted us a great victory!"



January 4th, 2012

Iowa- Republican
Ron Paul- 20.6% ✔
Bobby Jindal- 19.4%
Rick Santorum- 19.1%
Dan Quayle- 15.1%
Jeb Bush- 12.3%
Michele Bachmann- 5.2%
Rick Perry- 4.3%
Jon Huntsman- 4.0%

Michele Bachmann suspends campaign after a poor Iowa showing, endorses Rick Santorum

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Rick Santorum claims victory; Jindal, Perry vow to continue


In his speech following the Iowa Caucuses, which had him getting a much better than expected result, effectively splitting the religious right vote with Governor Jindal, former Senator Rick Santorum claimed that he was the real winner of the contest and promised to continue to victories in the south and west, "where the values of America are truly appreciated, just like here in Iowa."
Meanwhile, Governor Bobby Jindal, whose second place showing was considered a blow, said that he "called to congratulate Representative Paul on his victory tonight," but that "we had a great showing and will press on without campaign." In his speech, he sounded focuses on the next states and greatly reduced the religious rhetoric. Texas Governor Rick Perry, who did very poorly, vowed to press on to South Carolina. Jeb Bush seemed disappointed and unenergized in his concession speech, but claimed that he can win in New Hampshire and clinch the nomination.
Meanwhile, Jon Huntsman, who moved on to New Hampshire, had a victorious rally there following the Iowa results, claiming that "we did so much better than expected in a state we did not campaign in, and this result in Iowa will prelude our victory here in New Hampshire!"

[America Needs R'hllor]

Iowa Aftermath- Democrats

January 3rd, 2012

Feingold's triumphant message: progress starts in Iowa

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January 4th, 2012

Iowa- Democratic
Russ Feingold- 31.8% ✔
Evan Bayh- 30.9%
Bernie Sanders- 15.6%
Wesley Clark- 10.1%
Howard Dean- 6.2%
Mark Warner- 4.1%
Mary Landrieu- 0.9%
Joe Lieberman- 0.4%

Wesley Clark drops out, endorses Evan Bayh

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Sanders signals victory, Bayh congratulates Feingold



While other candidates, such as Lieberman, Landrieu, Warner and Dean did not have too many hopes for Iowa, the other two who did but lost tried to signal victory to their supporters. While Senator Bernie Sanders, who did better than expected, drew a large crowd to his victory speech and vowed to fight on to his home turf, in New Hampshire, where Howard Dean was already campaigning, Evan Bayh conceded the Caucuses and congratulated his rival, Russ Feingold, but said the loss was merely a roadbump.

[America Needs R'hllor]

Iowa a whole two years before inauguration?

Oh, I got used to writing '2011' everywhere, it's 2012, sorry

[America Needs R'hllor]

January 5th, 2012

Polling update: Post-Iowa

Republican Primaries- National
Jeb Bush- 22%  (+2)
Bobby Jindal- 19%  (+3)
Ron Paul- 16%  (+5)
Rick Santorum- 14%  (+8)
Jon Huntsman- 10%  (+2)
Rick Perry- 8%  (+2)
Undecided- 11%  (-3)

Republican Primaries- New Hampshire
Ron Paul- 23%  (+4)
Jeb Bush- 18%  (+1)
Jon Huntsman- 17%  (+1)
Bobby Jindal- 12%  (+1)
Rick Santorum- 8%  (+4)
Rick Perry- 5%  (+1)
Undecided- 17%  (-1)


Democratic Primaries- National
Evan Bayh- 24%  (+1)
Russ Feingold- 20%  (+4)
Howard Dean- 15%  (+-0)
Mark Warner- 13%  (-1)
Bernie Sanders- 11%  (+2)
Mary Landrieu- 6%  (+-0)
Joe Lieberman- 5%  (+1)
Undecided- 6%  (+-0)

Democratic Primaries- New Hampshire
Bernie Sanders- 23%  (+2)
Howard Dean- 22%  (-1)
Evan Bayh- 18%  (+-0)
Russ Feingold- 16%  (+2)
Joe Lieberman- 10%  (+1)
Mark Warner- 5%  (-1)
Mary Landerieu- 1%  (-1)
Undecided- 5%  (+-0)

Note: I decided to change the Republican primary schedule a bit to make it more comfortable. So the NV caucuses will be at the same day of the Democratic SC primary, January 28th. Might change a few more things according to what seems better.

[America Needs R'hllor]

January 5th, 2011 2012 (don't worry Peebs, not making this mistake again )

BREAKING: Joe Lieberman resigns as Secretary of Defence



As speculation swirls about the move President Clinton promised to prevent further infighting inside her cabinet, Secretary of Defence Joe Lieberman resigned from his position. Lieberman seemed to be in a bitter rivalry with Secretary of State Wesley Clark, and as the months went it became clear that this rivalry is harming the decision making process. Still, his resignation comes as a surprise and could serve as the deathblow on his already floundering Presidential campaign.

January 6th, 2012

Vice President Bayh confirms: Lieberman was fired

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January 7th, 2012

Republican candidates debate in New Hampshire, Ron Paul under fire



Before his Iowa caucuses victory, Ron Paul was not really deemed a threat by any of the major contenders. Now, leading in the polls in New Hampshire, he was a potential frontrunner. And so, he came under fire from all directions- he was attacked from the left, from the right, and from the center, by all of his opponents. Jeb Bush called him a dangerous extremist, Rick Santorum called him a person "who would allow America to betray its traditional values", and Bobby Jindal called him a fake conservative. Only Jon Huntsman left him mostly in peace, focusing instead on hammering in his moderate image.
Yet despite the attacks, Paul managed to have a very solid debate performance. Santorum and Huntsman
were considered victors too, appearing energetic and convincing. Jeb Bush managed to improve on his recent performances but still didn't do as good as he had hoped, same for Jindal, while Rick Perry was almost a non-factor.

Post-Debate poll: who won?
Rick Santorum- 26%
Jon Hunstman- 24%
Ron Paul- 20%
Jeb Bush- 12%
Bobby Jindal- 10%
Rick Perry- 8%

January 8th, 2012

Democratic pre-NH Debate: Lieberman sounds a fiery tone

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In a very fiery Democratic debate, Lieberman clashed with Vice President Bayh, accusing him of taking advantage of the situation and calling the 'establishment' out for what he claimed was the betrayal of him. But while that was certainly the most memorable part of the debate, there were some other highlights- Bernie Sanders and Howard Dean both did their best, making a clear appeal to the people of New Hampshire, while Russ Feingold did well too. Bayh, meanwhile, managed to stay above the fray and looked much better than Lieberman, while Warner and Landrieu, aside from a small clash between them, were forgetable.

Post-Debate poll: who won?
Howard Dean- 28%
Bernie Sanders- 24%
Evan Bayh- 18%
Joe Lieberman- 14%
Russ Feingold- 11%
Mark Warner- 4%
Mary Landrieu- 1%

[America Needs R'hllor]

January 9th, 2012

Candidates sweep New Hampshire, delivering one last message to voters

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Polling update: Pre-NH

Republican Primaries- National
Jeb Bush- 21%  (-1)
Bobby Jindal- 19%  (+-0)
Ron Paul- 16%  (+-0)
Rick Santorum- 15%  (+1)
Jon Huntsman- 11%  (+1)
Rick Perry- 7%  (-1)
Undecided- 11%  (+-0)

Republican Primaries- New Hampshire
Ron Paul- 22%  (-1)
Jon Huntsman- 20%  (+3)
Jeb Bush- 18%  (+-0)
Bobby Jindal- 12%  (+-0)
Rick Santorum- 9%  (+1)
Rick Perry- 5%  (+-0)
Undecided- 14%  (-3)


Democratic Primaries- National
Evan Bayh- 23%  (-1)
Russ Feingold- 21%  (+1)
Howard Dean- 14%  (-1)
Mark Warner- 13%  (+-0)
Bernie Sanders- 12%  (+1)
Mary Landrieu- 6%  (+-0)
Joe Lieberman- 6%  (+1)
Undecided- 5%  (-1)

Democratic Primaries- New Hampshire
Bernie Sanders- 23%  (+-0)
Howard Dean- 23%  (+1)
Evan Bayh- 17%  (-1)
Russ Feingold- 16%  (+-0)
Joe Lieberman- 12%  (+2)
Mark Warner- 4%  (-1)
Mary Landerieu- 1%  (+-0)
Undecided- 4%  (-1)

[America Needs R'hllor]

January 10th, 2012



Anderson Cooper: So the real results are starting to come in from the New Hampshire polls, let's look at the current situation:

New Hampshire- Republican
2% Reporting
Jon Huntsman- 27%
Ron Paul- 24%
Jeb Bush- 21%
Bobby Jindal- 12%
Rick Santorum- 12%
Rick Perry- 4%

Jake Tapper: Is it just me, or is Governor Huntsman starting surprisingly strong? Will he be able to keep those numbers through the night, and what could be the reason for this?
Dana Bash: We had a very high number of former Romney supporters who were still undecided all the way to the primary... it could be that these voters broke for Huntsman, if that is indeed the reason then he's probably on his way to a strong victory in the Granite State. This could really shake the race.

New Hampshire- Democratic
2% Reporting
Bernie Sanders- 21%
Howard Dean- 20%
Evan Bayh- 20%
Russ Feingold- 19%
Joe Lieberman- 14%
Mark Warner- 6%
Mary Landerieu- 0%

Wolf Blitzer: On the Democratic side, it's still to early to tell, but Russ Feingold and Evan Bayh seem to be overperforming while the two Vermont candidates are underperforming, will it turn into a 4-way struggle?

...........

John King: More results are pouring in, and at least on the Republican side, it looks like we might be able to make a projection soon.

New Hampshire- Republican
25% Reporting
Jon Huntsman- 29%
Ron Paul- 23%
Jeb Bush- 22%
Bobby Jindal- 13%
Rick Santorum- 11%
Rick Perry- 2%

New Hampshire- Democratic
25% Reporting
Howard Dean- 22%
Bernie Sanders- 20%
Evan Bayh- 19%
Russ Feingold- 19%
Joe Lieberman- 13%
Mark Warner- 6%
Mary Landerieu- 1%

Anderson Cooper: Governor Dean, meanwhile, opened quite a lead, but the other three main contenders are still struggling for the second place.

...........



Wolf Blitzer: We in CNN feel ready to call the Republican New Hampshire Primary right now...


New Hampshire- Republican
35% Reporting
Jon Huntsman- 31% ✔
Ron Paul- 22%
Jeb Bush- 22%
Bobby Jindal- 12%
Rick Santorum- 11%
Rick Perry- 2%

Wolf Blitzer: Former Utah Governor and Ambassador to China Jon Huntsman will win the New Hampshire Republican Primaries... for the second place, we're seeing a tight struggle between Governor Jeb Bush and Representative Ron Paul.

New Hampshire- Democratic
35% Reporting
Howard Dean- 23%
Evan Bayh- 20%
Bernie Sanders- 19%
Russ Feingold- 19%
Joe Lieberman- 13%
Mark Warner- 5%
Mary Landerieu- 1%

...........

Dana Bash: ...What we're seeing is Governor Bush overperforming, not Ron Paul underperforming. And yet, this is going to be a major setback for the insurgent Texas Representative. He really needs to hope that he clings to the second place.

New Hampshire- Republican
75% Reporting
Jon Huntsman- 32% ✔
Jeb Bush- 21%
Ron Paul- 21%
Bobby Jindal- 12%
Rick Santorum- 12%
Rick Perry- 2%



Anderson Cooper: And on the Democratic side, we're ready to make a projection...


New Hampshire- Democratic
75% Reporting
Howard Dean- 23%✔
Russ Feingold- 19%
Bernie Sanders- 19%
Evan Bayh- 19%
Joe Lieberman- 12%
Mark Warner- 7%
Mary Landerieu- 1%

Anderson Cooper: Former Vermont Governor Howard Dean will win the New Hampshire Primary! For the second spot, there's a three-way struggle between Feingold, Sanders and Bayh. What happened here?
Jake Tapper: It looks like Progressives saw Feingold's win in Iowa, and decided that he's their strongest candidate, breaking for him. This allowed Howard Dean to take a plurality of the vote. This is certainly a tough night for Senator Sanders, who really ran a powerful insurgent campaign.
Dana Bash: And we're seeing Vice President Bayh overperforming too, President Clinton's campaign rallies for him seem to be working...

...........

New Hampshire- Republican
100% Reporting
Jon Huntsman- 32.6% ✔
Ron Paul- 21.7%
Jeb Bush- 21.2%
Bobby Jindal- 11.3%
Rick Santorum- 10.3%
Rick Perry- 2.9%

New Hampshire- Democratic
100% Reporting
Howard Dean- 22.7%✔
Russ Feingold- 19.3%
Bernie Sanders- 19.1%
Evan Bayh- 19.0%
Joe Lieberman- 12.4%
Mark Warner- 6.3%
Mary Landerieu- 1.2%

[America Needs R'hllor]

What about the delegate count for both parties?

I'll be counting plus using a map starting from NH.

[America Needs R'hllor]

January 10th, 2012

Republican Primaries

American Samoa
Guam
Northern Mariana Islands
US Virgin Islands

Ron Paul- 12 delegates
Bobby Jindal- 10 delegates
Jon Huntsman- 6 delegates
Rick Santorum- 5 delegates
Dan Quayle- 4 delegates
Jeb Bush- 3 delegates
Rick Perry- 0 delegates
Michelle Bachmann- 0 delegates

Democratic Primaries

American Samoa
Guam
Northern Mariana Islands
US Virgin Islands
Democrats Abroad

Russ Feingold- 26 delegates
Evan Bayh- 23 delegates
Bernie Sanders- 18 delegates
Howard Dean- 8 delegates
Joe Lieberman- 3 delegates
Mark Warner- 0 delegates
Mary Landrieu- 0 delegates
Wesley Clark- delegates