How far will Trump drop?

[RHTFT]

I don't like Trump whatsoever. I am absolutely disgusted by Trump's awful comments about women, but I don't think this scandal will hurt Trump that much. The people who were already planning to vote for Trump (AKA around 43-45% of the country) are going to vote for him no matter what. These people aren't offended by what Trump says. Plenty of them say similar stuff about women regularly. If anything, this will energize his base.

Second of all, does this scandal really surprise anyone? I think that most people have already assumed that Trump has made these sort of comments in private, and the people who were already planning to vote for him don't really care.

Sure, this scandal will hurt Trump's appeal with female (and hopefully some male) swing voters, and he probably will lose his leads in Iowa, Ohio, ME-02, and Nevada, but I still think that he will win GA and especially AZ. There are way too many anti-immigrant types in AZ for Trump to lose that state. I think that he will be behind by 6 points nationwide post hot-micgate. I think the map will look like Romney 2012-NC and NE-02. I hate to sound pessimistic, but I think you guys are overreacting. He won't be behind by double-digits nationwide and behind in states like Georgia, Arizona, and Texas.

This maybe a very controversial prediction, and I really hope that I'm wrong, but I don't think this scandal will hurt Donald Trump all that much.