NV-Clarity Campaign: Tie

[BoAtlantis]

Nevada is a notoriously hard state to poll. This is one state I would not be surprised to see anyone take it.

[BoAtlantis]

This poll also undersampled Latinos, and oversampled older voters. Nothing to worry about here.

Almost all polls weigh by like age, gender, race and education so in theory that problem is mostly offset, though the caveat is that the under-sampled group will have higher margin of error even controlling for demographics and turnout.