Does Jamaal Bowman's NY-16 loss imply anything about Gaza in the Presidential race? (user search)
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  Does Jamaal Bowman's NY-16 loss imply anything about Gaza in the Presidential race? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Does Jamaal Bowman's NY-16 loss imply anything about Gaza in the Presidential race?  (Read 450 times)
LAKISYLVANIA
Lakigigar
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Posts: 16,027
Belgium


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -4.78

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« on: June 26, 2024, 08:00:50 AM »

It shows that powerful lobby groups that donate 15 million to a ing primary - which is more than campaign funds being spent on entire parliamentary elections in a lot of EU nations - is not normal, and should never be considered normal.

If you're disturbed about NRA, about pro-fossil fuel lobbies having a lot of influence, so should you be about AIPAC.

If you complain about Russia, China and Iran influencing your elections, so should you be about Israël and AIPAC.

Either way, i would be voting for Bowman on the WF line if i lived in NY-16 and encourage everyone to do so as well.
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LAKISYLVANIA
Lakigigar
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 16,027
Belgium


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -4.78

P P P
« Reply #1 on: June 26, 2024, 08:03:15 AM »

The Gaza aspect of this primary contest is vastly overrated, if you ask me. I've probably seen close to 100 ads from both candidates and their backers over the past two months or so. As such, I feel like a bit of an authority on this.

An underrated conclusion I draw from this is support for Biden. While AIPAC obviously supported Latimer in an effort to unseat Bowman, their anti-Bowman ads mostly focused on portraying him as too out of the mainstream for the district he represents, specifically by making him out to be a thorn in Biden's side while in the House.

Meanwhile, Bowman emphasized "Netanyahu's unpopular war and rejection of Biden's peace deal." His campaign seemed to be trying to change perceptions and make Bowman out to be a more reliable Biden agenda supporter than Latimer might be.

Long story short: support for Biden, and his agenda, might have been more of a proxy for this election with this polity.

It doesn't suggest much division in the party to me, especially with the allegedly more supportive Latimer winning pretty substantially.

I imagine dynamics will be similar with Cori Bush in August. Just because a "Squad" member got elected by successfully primarying an incumbent, it doesn't necessarily mean they're eternally right for that district, as with their predecessor.

I mean, Bowman was obviously a sh**t representative and did go against Biden pretty often, mostly when his vote didn't matter however, but Israel was clearly a huge issue. Just look at the vote margins in low vs high Jewish areas. Jewish voters turned out 2.5x or more compared to any other demographic and there was an active Jewish campaign doing insanely impressive fieldwork.

15 million, money does a lot.
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