Reaction to this map? (user search)
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June 01, 2024, 01:26:40 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  2024 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: Likely Voter, GeorgiaModerate, KoopaDaQuick 🇵🇸)
  Reaction to this map? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Reaction to this map?  (Read 373 times)
LAKISYLVANIA
Lakigigar
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Posts: 15,684
Belgium


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -4.78

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« on: May 03, 2024, 07:20:57 AM »

Likely Trump win due to NJ and RI not being called yet, though I suspect high third party vote in the latter (at least) and early voting dumps favouring Trump (like in Virginia) for New Jersey probably would explain this.

Probably leads to the normal expected Trump vic, Trump 2016 + NV. Potentially also MN, NH and ME (esp. given RI not being called yet really signals issues in Maine).

IL and NY being called, and IA not yet being called, probably means this isn't a total blowout, so not a landslide win either.
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LAKISYLVANIA
Lakigigar
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,684
Belgium


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -4.78

P P P
« Reply #1 on: May 03, 2024, 07:43:19 AM »

Likely Trump win due to NJ and RI not being called yet, though I suspect high third party vote in the latter (at least) and early voting dumps favouring Trump (like in Virginia) for New Jersey probably would explain this.

Probably leads to the normal expected Trump vic, Trump 2016 + NV. Potentially also MN, NH and ME (esp. given RI not being called yet really signals issues in Maine).

IL and NY being called, and IA not yet being called, probably means this isn't a total blowout, so not a landslide win either.

IA doesn’t close until 10 PM EST

along with NV, MT, UT

Ok yea i'm not familiar with what state closes when but than that probably suggests an even bigger Trump win potentially, because I feel like IA would be immediately called if WI would go R modestly and if MN is at danger.

I think if that was reality what you shown that it's basically already over.
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