European Parliament elections, June 2024 (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 02, 2024, 12:09:03 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  International Elections (Moderators: afleitch, Hash)
  European Parliament elections, June 2024 (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: European Parliament elections, June 2024  (Read 8034 times)
LAKISYLVANIA
Lakigigar
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,685
Belgium


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -4.78

P P P
« on: July 04, 2023, 11:15:39 AM »
« edited: July 04, 2023, 11:26:50 AM by Laki 🇧🇪❤️🇺🇦 »

Renew and G/EFA seem to be the ones that will drop the most in Flanders as well. Both are hurt a lot and seem to be heading to a loss. They're not polling well.

S&D, The Left and ID probably will improve their standing (though slightly, we don't have too many seats to elect as well). ECR probably status quo or a loss of 1 seat. Same for EPP, status quo or a loss of 1-2 seats.

Based on current polls, I suspect Flanders to be like:

ID - 3 (same)
ECR - 3 (same)
S&D - 2 (+1)
EPP - 1 (-1)
The Left - 1 (+1)
G/EFA - 1 (same)
Renew - 1 (-1)

ID only narrowly had that third seat, they might be heading to a fourth but might fall short and Greens fell short of a 2nd one, last time, now they'll be defending the one they have but they should be okay doing that. Open VLD (Renew) is almost certain to lose their 2nd seat and so is CD&V for EPP. Vooruit - rising in the polls - probably get an additional seat and The Left gets their first if they continue to poll like this.

EPP get 1 seat from German-speaking community (is always like that)

And in French speaking Belgium i don't expect too much change.

But Greens could lose 1 here while The Left gains 1. Though S&D is a contendor for a 3rd seat but i think the margins are too close so it's likelier its a fight between The Left and Greens here. If Les engagés disappoint a lot, they might lose theirs seat as well, but i don't think thats very likely and I suspect they're underpolled.

S&D - 2 (same)
Renew - 2 (same)
The Left - 2 (+1)
G/EFA - 1 (-1)
EPP - 1 (same)

Logged
LAKISYLVANIA
Lakigigar
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,685
Belgium


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -4.78

P P P
« Reply #1 on: May 19, 2024, 04:27:18 PM »

Metsola meeting with Meloni (who is the most significant far right leader in Europe) and Weber courting them too shows that the EPP may want to end the Grand Coalition in favour of a right-wing coalition. EPP also met with Le Pen to potentially discuss RN joining forces with them if the French "republican" right disintegrates with them. It won't happen I think but it shows how mentalities are changing.

Would almost certainly lead to some EPP parties leaving EPP

EDIT: Apologies for quoting a post from 2023...
Logged
LAKISYLVANIA
Lakigigar
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,685
Belgium


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -4.78

P P P
« Reply #2 on: May 21, 2024, 10:48:01 AM »

https://nos.nl/artikel/2521340-europese-liberalen-overwegen-schorsing-vvd-vanwege-samenwerking-met-pvv

European liberals consider expelling VVD because of cooperation with PVV on national level.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.028 seconds with 12 queries.