Jesus save us
NJR
Rookie
Posts: 94
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« on: July 16, 2018, 08:09:55 AM » |
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Too early? Who cares, let's speculate.
The first thing that strikes me about the 2020 senate class is that is has remarkably few vulnerable senators on either side. With the notable exceptions of Susan Collins, Doug Jones and Cory Gardner, all states are represented by the party that they voted for in the 2016 presidential election. It's a safe assumption that the Doug Jones and Gardner will both lose their seats, while Collins will hold hers(unless she retires)... and beyond that, there are very few obvious pick up opportunities for either party.
Democrats have a credible chance in North Carolina(a poll shows "generic Democrat" favoured over Senator Tillis). OTOH, Joni Ernst is strongly favoured over generic Democrat in Iowa. Besides that... Georgia is a possibility given it's blue drift. Montana isn't implausible, given it's record of voting Democrat on a state level and the possibility of either a Bullock or Schweitzer candidacy.
As for the Republicans? The only plausible targets I can see are Michigan and New Hampshire, though neither have been subject to any polling recently.
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