oriass16
Rookie
Posts: 28
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« on: November 04, 2018, 01:50:33 AM » |
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In Nevada Based on 2016 ED turnout 44% as many as early votes will be casted on ED that is almost 276 K more the overall turnout will be like 628+276=904 K
Also based on 2016 ED out of 276 K ( 99 K will be Ds, 97 will be Rs & 80 K will be INs)
so the over all turnout based on party is projected to be 359 k Ds ( 40%) , 335 k Rs (37% )& 209 k INs (23%)
if we assume Heller and Rosen each got 90% of their party votes and 10 % of the other and Heller got 10+ points with Independents based his recent average polls with independents.
So the projected outcome will be Heller 453 K and Rosen 451 K which is even, my opinion is Rosen will win with no more than 10K margin.
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