GA-06 and SC-05 election day & results thread

[JJC]

I'm hearing that in Cobb county lines are three times as long as they were in the presidential election.

That's good for Handel. Even though Cobb - the best GOP district - had low EV turnout, the EV for Handel was still pretty descent. All she needs to do is nab about 55% of the election day vote to win.

[JJC]

Turnout reports are easily the worst part of election day waiting.

But it's tradition

Just like made up posts of voter intimidation practices.

[JJC]

lol

[JJC]

Say what you want about the district or either of the candidate's respective campaigns, but the fact that Dems will likely come up short in GA-06 bodes very, very badly for the Dems going into 2018.  The fact that so many Democrats, from top to bottom, were so invested in this race is going to sting for a long time and will negatively impact recruitment, fundraising and energy going forward.

Say what you want about the race being close, but a loss as a loss and it will be Karen Handel, not Ossoff, in all likelihood heading to DC.  This isn't the Olympics, second place doesn't mean anything in politics.  

lol

GOP brought all their heavyweights to campaign for Handel. Ossoff only brought John Lewis.

R's can try to spin this all they want, but at the end of the day, these are massive swings for Democrats. On top of that we have strong recruitment and fundraising has already topped last year numbers.

Dems spent 30 million in a district Trump won by 1%.

That's not good.

[JJC]

Assuming there are still about 20k mail-in ballots left, and we give 75% to Ossoff, that will net him about 10k over Handel.

That won't be enough.

[JJC]

Say what you want about the district or either of the candidate's respective campaigns, but the fact that Dems will likely come up short in GA-06 bodes very, very badly for the Dems going into 2018.  The fact that so many Democrats, from top to bottom, were so invested in this race is going to sting for a long time and will negatively impact recruitment, fundraising and energy going forward.

Say what you want about the race being close, but a loss as a loss and it will be Karen Handel, not Ossoff, in all likelihood heading to DC.  This isn't the Olympics, second place doesn't mean anything in politics.  

lol

GOP brought all their heavyweights to campaign for Handel. Ossoff only brought John Lewis.

R's can try to spin this all they want, but at the end of the day, these are massive swings for Democrats. On top of that we have strong recruitment and fundraising has already topped last year numbers.

Dems spent 30 million in a district Trump won by 1%.

That's not good.

A district that hasn't voted for a Democrat since the 1970s.

Irrelevant.

Firstly, the District lines have changed significantly.

Secondly, I can just as easily point to dems district that swung massively to the GOP. There are two sides to this coin.

Trump fundamentally changed the electorate. The only thing this result shows is that this change is here to stay.

Which is not good news fro Democrats.

[JJC]

Say what you want about the district or either of the candidate's respective campaigns, but the fact that Dems will likely come up short in GA-06 bodes very, very badly for the Dems going into 2018.  The fact that so many Democrats, from top to bottom, were so invested in this race is going to sting for a long time and will negatively impact recruitment, fundraising and energy going forward.

Say what you want about the race being close, but a loss as a loss and it will be Karen Handel, not Ossoff, in all likelihood heading to DC.  This isn't the Olympics, second place doesn't mean anything in politics.  

lol

GOP brought all their heavyweights to campaign for Handel. Ossoff only brought John Lewis.

R's can try to spin this all they want, but at the end of the day, these are massive swings for Democrats. On top of that we have strong recruitment and fundraising has already topped last year numbers.

Dems spent 30 million in a district Trump won by 1%.

That's not good.

A district that hasn't voted for a Democrat since the 1970s.

Irrelevant.

Firstly, the District lines have changed significantly.

Secondly, I can just as easily point to dems district that swung massively to the GOP. There are two sides to this coin.

Trump fundamentally changed the electorate. The only thing this result shows is that this change is here to stay.

Which is not good news fro Democrats.

Huh? A district that has voted GOP since the 70s voting GOP again shows 'a fundamental change in the electorate'?

The district went 60-40 for Romney.

It's a very affluent, upper class white district. They swung hard to the left in the last election.

Meanwhile, blue collar, white working class voters swung massively to the GOP, especially in the rust belt.

Both of these groups used to be staples of their respective party. Now they are flipping. That's the change.

I will note; there are far more white working class voters than college educated white. Not a good trade off for dems.

[JJC]

Say what you want about the district or either of the candidate's respective campaigns, but the fact that Dems will likely come up short in GA-06 bodes very, very badly for the Dems going into 2018.  The fact that so many Democrats, from top to bottom, were so invested in this race is going to sting for a long time and will negatively impact recruitment, fundraising and energy going forward.

Say what you want about the race being close, but a loss as a loss and it will be Karen Handel, not Ossoff, in all likelihood heading to DC.  This isn't the Olympics, second place doesn't mean anything in politics.  

This doesn't bode very badly lol. Just last November, this district was 62-38 R. If the swing in GA-06 was replicated nationally the Democrats would easily take the house

If only Dems had 20 million to drop in every district

The point is, the Dems went all-in for a district Trump only won by one percentage point and still managed to lose to a deeply flawed Republican who had emerged from a fractured field while their candidate was pretty much a blank slate that tried to run exactly down this district's middle.

And to Ossoff's credit, he actually ran a competent campaign too.