Which is more likely in 2018 Democrats retake the Senate or a GOP supermajorty. (user search)
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  Which is more likely in 2018 Democrats retake the Senate or a GOP supermajorty. (search mode)
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Author Topic: Which is more likely in 2018 Democrats retake the Senate or a GOP supermajorty.  (Read 507 times)
JJC
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Posts: 446


« on: December 20, 2016, 10:54:27 PM »

It is far more likely that the GOP gets 60 seats than dems retaking the majority (although both are unlikely). The 2018 map is brutal for Dems:



Republicans only have 8 seats to defend, and of those only NV will likely be competitive (maybe AZ if dems field a strong candidate).

Democrats have 25 seats to defend, 10 of which are in states that Trump won. (And 5 of which he got more than 60% of the vote).

WV and ND might already be in GOP hands before 2018, and MT, MO, and IN are almost a give me for Republicans.
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JJC
Jr. Member
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Posts: 446


« Reply #1 on: December 20, 2016, 11:17:21 PM »

It all depends upon how terrible Trump will be...if he's moderately terrible yet distracts the voters with his buffoonish antic then the Dems will lose seats

Destroys the Clinton machine, Bush dynasty, Obama's legacy, 16 seasoned politicians (govs/sen), yet still gets dismissed as a joke by his enemies.

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