Young people in Europe and the centre-right's existential crisis

[Mike88]

In Portugal, Exit polls don't publish crosstabs by age or gender, but opinion polls before election day normally have number by age, gender and others. In the ERC site, in polls from 2009 until now, i choose those which were closer to the actual election results. They were: 2015 - Católica polls; 2014 - Eurosondagem polls; 2011 - Marktest polls; 2009 - Marktest polls.

The results, young voters vs the overall poll numbers, were the following:

Note: in 2009 and 2011, PSD and CDS ran separately, but their numbers are added here.

2015 gen. elections (Young voters: 18-24)
41% PSD+CDS
25% PS
19% BE
  3% CDU

2015 gen. elections (Overall poll result)
38% PSD+CDS
32% PS
  9% BE
  9% CDU

2014 European elections (Young voters: 18-30)
36.5% PS
31.6% PSD+CDS
  7.6% BE
  6.9% CDU

2014 European elections (Overall poll result)
36.9% PS
29.7% PSD+CDS
12.5% CDU
  5.7% BE

2011 gen. elections (Young voters: 18-24)
48.3% PSD+CDS
25.2% PS
  8.4% CDU
  6.2% BE

2011 gen. elections (Overall poll result)
48.2% PSD+CDS
30.1% PS
  8.5% CDU
  4.5% BE

2009 gen. elections (Young voters: 18-24)
42.2% PS
34.8% PSD+CDS
  8.1% BE
  7.1% CDU

2009 gen. elections (Overall poll result)
40.0% PS
39.8% PSD+CDS
  9.0% BE
  7.2% CDU

According to the polls, and these are polls not exit polls, with the exception of 2009, the Portuguese youth electorate seems to be more center-right compared to the rest of the age groups and the vote overall. Interesting.