Hollywood
Jr. Member
Posts: 1,736
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« on: November 24, 2021, 06:20:12 PM » |
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Generic D usually does better within polls as is mentioned in the comments from the pollster.
Currently, this poll indicates that almost any Republican would win the race in MO by a margin of at least 58% to 42% in 2022 if only the decided individuals were to go to the polls on election day (49 is 57.65% of 85 decided voters).
If we throw in leaners and undecideds from polls and elections in similar states or regions, the Republicans would win anywhere from 58% to 65% of MO voters.
Biden disapproval in MO is around 60% and similar numbers have been found in Iowa.
I believe my math is correct, because Trump won the state with almost 57% in 2020.
The chances of a female Republican candidate winning the state by over 60% is a great possibility.
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